Idioma:Español
Maria Timofeeva v Elise Mertens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Maria Timofeeva (Local)
Predicción 26.95%3.71momio equitativo
EV +2.16%
Ventaja +0.569%
Kelly +0.773%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.25%26.90%27.08%28.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.483.503.7930.77%28.77%28.57%26.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elise Mertens (Visitante)
Predicción 73.05%1.37momio equitativo
EV -2.85%
Ventaja -2.14%
Kelly -8.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.12%73.10%72.92%74.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.311.301.3380.00%76.44%76.92%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Maria Timofeeva (Local): 26.95%; Elise Mertens (Visitante): 73.05%. Para Maria Timofeeva (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.71. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.79, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.16%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.83%EV +2.16%E +0.569%K +0.773%G +0.017% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.17%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +1.08%E +0.287%K +0.392%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +1.08%E +0.287%K +0.392%G +0.004% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.270%E -0.073%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.69%E -6.95%K -34.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -1.62%E -0.443%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 12:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -1.62%E -0.443%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 12:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.62%E -0.443%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -1.89%E -0.519%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -2.16%E -0.594%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 03:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 12:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 03:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -3.50%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.21%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.31%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.31%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 06:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 05:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 15:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 10:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 03:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 03:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 08:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 10:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.55%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 17:22 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.55%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 17:22 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -7.82%E -2.29%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 02:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 08:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 00:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 05:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 1.7% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36% | 2.7% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |