Langue:Français
Maria Timofeeva v Elise Mertens
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Maria Timofeeva (Local)
Prévision 26.95%3.71cote équitable
EV +2.16%
Avantage +0.569%
Kelly +0.773%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 3.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.25%26.90%27.08%28.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.483.503.7930.77%28.77%28.57%26.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Elise Mertens (Visiteur)
Prévision 73.05%1.37cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -2.14%
Kelly -8.63%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.12%73.10%72.92%74.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.311.301.3380.00%76.44%76.92%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Maria Timofeeva (Local) : 26.95% ; Elise Mertens (Visiteur) : 73.05%. Pour Maria Timofeeva (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.71. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.79, soit une espérance positive de +2.16%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.83%EV +2.16%E +0.569%K +0.773%G +0.017% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.17%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +1.08%E +0.287%K +0.392%G +0.004% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +1.08%E +0.287%K +0.392%G +0.004% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.270%E -0.073%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.69%E -6.95%K -34.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -1.62%E -0.443%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 12:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -1.62%E -0.443%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 12:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.62%E -0.443%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -1.89%E -0.519%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -2.16%E -0.594%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 03:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 12:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.97%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 03:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -3.50%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.21%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.31%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.31%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.50%E -5.08%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.63%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -4.85%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 06:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 05:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 15:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 10:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 03:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 03:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 08:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 10:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.55%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 17:22 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -7.55%E -2.20%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 17:22 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -7.82%E -2.29%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 02:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.31%E -3.29%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 11:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 08:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.04%E -3.88%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 00:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.77%E -4.47%K -19.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 05:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.85%E -2.14%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 10:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -3.58%E -2.71%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 01:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 14:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 1.7% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36% | 2.7% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |