Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Sofia Kenin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 90.28%1.11fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -3.18%
Kelly -48.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.30%90.31%90.42%91.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.0797.09%94.75%94.34%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sofia Kenin (Visit)
Prediction 9.72%10.28fair odd
EV +11.81%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.133%
assuming max odds 11.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.37%9.69%9.58%11.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.579.4511.5012.50%10.45%10.58%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 90.28%; Sofia Kenin (Visit): 9.72%. For Sofia Kenin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.28. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +11.81%E +1.03%K +1.13%G +0.133% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +11.81%E +1.03%K +1.13%G +0.133% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 10:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +6.95%E +0.632%K +0.695%G +0.048% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.01%E -6.81%K -233.82%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +6.95%E +0.632%K +0.695%G +0.048% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 06:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +5.01%E +0.464%K +0.511%G +0.026% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 09:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.90%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.62%G +0.000% | 10.69I 9.35%NM 9.10%EV +3.94%E +0.369%K +0.407%G +0.016% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.62%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 15:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 15:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 15:21 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 07:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 05:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 06:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.11%E -5.88%K -152.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.11%E -5.88%K -152.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:13 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.35%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 9.83I 10.17%NM 9.65%EV -4.42%E -0.450%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -5.20%E -0.533%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -5.20%E -0.533%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.63%E -0.803%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 07:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.63%E -0.803%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.63%E -0.803%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.93%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.47I 10.56%NM 10.07%EV -7.92%E -0.837%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 15:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.91%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 10.09%EV -8.12%E -0.859%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 10:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.09%EV -6.11%E -5.88%K -152.80%G +0.000% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 9.91%EV -8.12%E -0.859%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -8.60%E -0.915%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -8.60%E -0.915%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.86%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.14%EV -9.58%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 15:21 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.06%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 06:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.62%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 9.07I 11.03%NM 10.38%EV -11.81%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.62%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 9.07I 11.03%NM 10.38%EV -11.81%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 13:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 11:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 11:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 15:21 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 06:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 15:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 07:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.62%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -15.41%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 15:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.62%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.35%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.35%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 08:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.22%E -2.78%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 14:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 0.6% | 2026-09-02 15:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.57% | 13.33I 7.50%NM 7.43% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 15:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 05:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.97% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 7.03% | 1.5% | 2026-09-02 15:21 |