StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jessica Pegula v Sofia Kenin

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-02 15:39 UTC

Endstand: Jessica Pegula 2–0 Sofia Kenin

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jessica Pegula (Heim)

Prognose 90.28%1.11faire Quote
EV -3.40%
Vorteil -3.18%
Kelly -48.62%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.07

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
88.30%90.31%90.42%91.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.031.061.061.0797.09%94.75%94.34%93.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Sofia Kenin (Auswärts)

Prognose 9.72%10.28faire Quote
EV +11.81%
Vorteil +1.03%
Kelly +1.13%
Wachstum +0.133%

bei einer Höchstquote von 11.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.37%9.69%9.58%11.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
8.009.579.4511.5012.50%10.45%10.58%8.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jessica Pegula (Heim): 90.28%; Sofia Kenin (Auswärts): 9.72%. Für Sofia Kenin (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 10.28. 9 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 11.50 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +11.81%.

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +11.81%E +1.03%K +1.13%G +0.133%3.9%2026-09-01 10:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +11.81%E +1.03%K +1.13%G +0.133%3.9%2026-09-01 10:50
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +6.95%E +0.632%K +0.695%G +0.048%4.3%2026-09-01 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.01%E -6.81%K -233.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +6.95%E +0.632%K +0.695%G +0.048%6.2%2026-09-02 06:00
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +5.01%E +0.464%K +0.511%G +0.026%4.5%2026-09-02 09:34
Pinnacle🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.90%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.62%G +0.000%10.69I 9.35%NM 9.10%EV +3.94%E +0.369%K +0.407%G +0.016%2.8%2026-09-02 14:31
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005%3.0%2026-09-02 07:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005%3.9%2026-09-02 09:15
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005%4.8%2026-09-02 15:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 15:21
ReBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 07:20
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 05:59
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 07:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 07:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:25
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 06:45
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 15:20
888sport🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:00
William Hill🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.11%E -5.88%K -152.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:10
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.11%E -5.88%K -152.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 22:13
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.35%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.83I 10.17%NM 9.65%EV -4.42%E -0.450%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -5.20%E -0.533%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 07:15
Neds🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -5.20%E -0.533%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 07:15
Bet Right🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.63%E -0.803%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 07:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.63%E -0.803%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 09:15
BetUS🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.63%E -0.803%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 15:25
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.93%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.47I 10.56%NM 10.07%EV -7.92%E -0.837%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 15:20
BetAnything🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.91%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 10.09%EV -8.12%E -0.859%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 10:10
Fliff🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.09%EV -6.11%E -5.88%K -152.80%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.91%EV -8.12%E -0.859%K -0.961%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -8.60%E -0.915%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -8.60%E -0.915%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.86%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.14%EV -9.58%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 15:21
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.06%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 06:00
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.62%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.07I 11.03%NM 10.38%EV -11.81%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.62%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.07I 11.03%NM 10.38%EV -11.81%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 15:20
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 13:01
TABtouch🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Casumo🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
BetRivers🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Grosvenor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Bally Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
betPARX🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 11:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 11:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 15:21
betfred_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 06:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 12:00
BetMGM🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 07:14
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.62%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -15.41%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 15:15
PlayUp🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.35%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 13:40
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.35%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 08:20
TAB🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.22%E -2.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 14:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-09-02 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-09-02 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-09-02 15:25
Matchbook◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-09-02 15:25
ProphetX◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-09-02 14:00
Novig◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.57%13.33I 7.50%NM 7.43%1.0%2026-09-02 15:15
Kalshi◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-09-02 05:55
Smarkets◎1.06I 94.34%NM 92.97%14.01I 7.14%NM 7.03%1.5%2026-09-02 15:21