默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jessica Pegula v Sofia Kenin

开赛时间: 2026-09-02 15:39 UTC

最终结果: Jessica Pegula 2–0 Sofia Kenin

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jessica Pegula (主队)

预测 90.28%1.11公平赔率
EV -3.40%
优势 -3.18%
Kelly -48.62%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.07

博彩公司预测分布
88.30%90.31%90.42%91.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.031.061.061.0797.09%94.75%94.34%93.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sofia Kenin (客队)

预测 9.72%10.28公平赔率
EV +11.81%
优势 +1.03%
Kelly +1.13%
增长率 +0.133%

假设最高赔率为 11.50

博彩公司预测分布
8.37%9.69%9.58%11.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.009.579.4511.5012.50%10.45%10.58%8.70%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Jessica Pegula (主队):90.28%;Sofia Kenin (客队):9.72%。 对于“Sofia Kenin (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.28。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为11.50,对应+11.81%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +11.81%E +1.03%K +1.13%G +0.133%3.9%2026-09-01 10:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +11.81%E +1.03%K +1.13%G +0.133%3.9%2026-09-01 10:50
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +6.95%E +0.632%K +0.695%G +0.048%4.3%2026-09-01 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.01%E -6.81%K -233.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +6.95%E +0.632%K +0.695%G +0.048%6.2%2026-09-02 06:00
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +5.01%E +0.464%K +0.511%G +0.026%4.5%2026-09-02 09:34
Pinnacle🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.90%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.62%G +0.000%10.69I 9.35%NM 9.10%EV +3.94%E +0.369%K +0.407%G +0.016%2.8%2026-09-02 14:31
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005%3.0%2026-09-02 07:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005%3.9%2026-09-02 09:15
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005%4.8%2026-09-02 15:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 15:21
ReBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 07:20
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 05:59
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 07:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 07:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:25
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 06:45
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 15:20
888sport🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:00
William Hill🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.11%E -5.88%K -152.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:10
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.11%E -5.88%K -152.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 22:13
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.35%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.83I 10.17%NM 9.65%EV -4.42%E -0.450%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -5.20%E -0.533%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 07:15
Neds🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -5.20%E -0.533%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 07:15
Bet Right🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.63%E -0.803%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 07:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.63%E -0.803%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 09:15
BetUS🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.63%E -0.803%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 15:25
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.93%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.47I 10.56%NM 10.07%EV -7.92%E -0.837%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 15:20
BetAnything🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.91%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 10.09%EV -8.12%E -0.859%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 10:10
Fliff🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.09%EV -6.11%E -5.88%K -152.80%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.91%EV -8.12%E -0.859%K -0.961%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -8.60%E -0.915%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -8.60%E -0.915%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.86%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.14%EV -9.58%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 15:21
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.06%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 06:00
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.62%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.07I 11.03%NM 10.38%EV -11.81%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.62%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.07I 11.03%NM 10.38%EV -11.81%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 15:20
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 13:01
TABtouch🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Casumo🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
BetRivers🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Grosvenor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Bally Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
betPARX🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 11:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 11:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 15:21
betfred_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 06:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 12:00
BetMGM🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 07:14
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.62%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -15.41%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 15:15
PlayUp🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.35%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 13:40
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.35%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 08:20
TAB🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.22%E -2.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 14:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-09-02 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-09-02 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-09-02 15:25
Matchbook◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-09-02 15:25
ProphetX◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-09-02 14:00
Novig◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.57%13.33I 7.50%NM 7.43%1.0%2026-09-02 15:15
Kalshi◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-09-02 05:55
Smarkets◎1.06I 94.34%NM 92.97%14.01I 7.14%NM 7.03%1.5%2026-09-02 15:21