默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jessica Pegula v Sofia Kenin

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Jessica Pegula (主队)

预测 90.92%1.10公平赔率
EV -4.53%
优势 -4.32%
Kelly -90.62%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.05

博彩公司预测分布
87.17%90.75%90.78%92.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.021.041.051.0598.04%95.85%95.24%95.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sofia Kenin (客队)

预测 9.08%11.02公平赔率
EV +18.00%
优势 +1.38%
Kelly +1.50%
增长率 +0.270%

假设最高赔率为 13.00

博彩公司预测分布
7.47%9.25%9.22%12.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.0010.2310.0013.0014.29%9.78%10.00%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Jessica Pegula (主队):90.92%;Sofia Kenin (客队):9.08%。 对于“Sofia Kenin (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.02。 有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为13.00,由此产生+18.00%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +18.00%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.270%2.9%2026-08-31 12:10
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +18.00%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.270%2.9%2026-08-31 09:34
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.43%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%12.82I 7.80%NM 7.57%EV +16.37%E +1.28%K +1.38%G +0.227%3.0%2026-08-31 12:11
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%3.6%2026-08-31 06:50
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%3.6%2026-08-31 06:50
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%4.5%2026-08-31 11:55
Bovada🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%4.5%2026-08-31 12:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.26%E -7.12%K -362.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%6.4%2026-08-31 11:55
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 12:45
Bet Right🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:45
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:45
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.29%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 8.71%EV -1.06%E -0.097%K -0.107%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 12:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.69%E -0.447%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 12:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -7.26%E -7.12%K -362.92%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -4.69%E -0.447%K -0.494%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 12:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -6.96%E -0.679%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 11:40
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.53%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.04I 9.96%NM 9.47%EV -8.87%E -0.883%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 06:55
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 06:45
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:06
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:06
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
PlayUp🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 07:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 07:35
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 06:55
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -11.50%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 12:45
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -13.77%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 06:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -13.77%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 12:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -18.31%E -2.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 07:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -18.31%E -2.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -18.31%E -2.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 88.06%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.94%EV -31.02%E -4.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 11:54
ReBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.92%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -31.92%E -4.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.33%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.67%EV -35.55%E -5.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 11:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -36.46%E -5.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 11:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.6%2026-08-31 08:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-08-31 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-08-31 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-08-31 12:01
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-08-31 13:00
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%6.6%2026-08-31 11:50