Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jessica Pegula v Sofia Kenin

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prévision 90.92%1.10cote équitable
EV -4.53%
Avantage -4.32%
Kelly -90.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
87.17%90.75%90.78%92.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.021.041.051.0598.04%95.85%95.24%95.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sofia Kenin (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.08%11.02cote équitable
EV +18.00%
Avantage +1.38%
Kelly +1.50%
Croissance +0.270%

avec la cote maximale 13.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.47%9.25%9.22%12.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.0010.2310.0013.0014.29%9.78%10.00%7.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Jessica Pegula (Local) : 90.92% ; Sofia Kenin (Visiteur) : 9.08%. Pour Sofia Kenin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 11.02. 8 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 13.00, pour une espérance positive de +18.00%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +18.00%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.270%2.9%2026-08-31 12:10
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +18.00%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.270%2.9%2026-08-31 09:34
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.43%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%12.82I 7.80%NM 7.57%EV +16.37%E +1.28%K +1.38%G +0.227%3.0%2026-08-31 12:11
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%3.6%2026-08-31 06:50
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%3.6%2026-08-31 06:50
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%4.5%2026-08-31 11:55
Bovada🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%4.5%2026-08-31 12:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.26%E -7.12%K -362.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%6.4%2026-08-31 11:55
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 12:45
Bet Right🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:45
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:45
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.29%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 8.71%EV -1.06%E -0.097%K -0.107%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 12:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.69%E -0.447%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 12:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -7.26%E -7.12%K -362.92%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -4.69%E -0.447%K -0.494%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 12:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -6.96%E -0.679%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 11:40
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.53%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.04I 9.96%NM 9.47%EV -8.87%E -0.883%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 06:55
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 06:45
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:06
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:06
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
PlayUp🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 07:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 07:35
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 06:55
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -11.50%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 12:45
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -13.77%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 06:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -13.77%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 12:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -18.31%E -2.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 07:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -18.31%E -2.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -18.31%E -2.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 88.06%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.94%EV -31.02%E -4.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 11:54
ReBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.92%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -31.92%E -4.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.33%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.67%EV -35.55%E -5.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 11:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -36.46%E -5.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 11:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.6%2026-08-31 08:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-08-31 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-08-31 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-08-31 12:01
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-08-31 13:00
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%6.6%2026-08-31 11:50