Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jessica Pegula v Sofia Kenin

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jessica Pegula (Casa)

Previsione 90.92%1.10quota equa
EV -4.53%
Vantaggio -4.32%
Kelly -90.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
87.17%90.75%90.78%92.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.021.041.051.0598.04%95.85%95.24%95.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Sofia Kenin (Trasferta)

Previsione 9.08%11.02quota equa
EV +18.00%
Vantaggio +1.38%
Kelly +1.50%
Crescita +0.270%

ipotizzando la quota massima 13.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.47%9.25%9.22%12.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.0010.2310.0013.0014.29%9.78%10.00%7.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Jessica Pegula (Casa): 90.92%; Sofia Kenin (Trasferta): 9.08%. Per Sofia Kenin (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 11.02. 8 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 13.00, con un valore atteso positivo del +18.00%.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +18.00%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.270%2.9%2026-08-31 12:10
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +18.00%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.270%2.9%2026-08-31 09:34
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.43%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%12.82I 7.80%NM 7.57%EV +16.37%E +1.28%K +1.38%G +0.227%3.0%2026-08-31 12:11
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%3.6%2026-08-31 06:50
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%3.6%2026-08-31 06:50
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%4.5%2026-08-31 11:55
Bovada🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%4.5%2026-08-31 12:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.26%E -7.12%K -362.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%6.4%2026-08-31 11:55
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 12:45
Bet Right🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:45
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:45
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.29%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 8.71%EV -1.06%E -0.097%K -0.107%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 12:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.69%E -0.447%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 12:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -7.26%E -7.12%K -362.92%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -4.69%E -0.447%K -0.494%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 12:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -6.96%E -0.679%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 11:40
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.53%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.04I 9.96%NM 9.47%EV -8.87%E -0.883%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 06:55
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 06:45
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:06
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:06
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
PlayUp🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 07:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 07:35
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 06:55
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -11.50%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 12:45
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -13.77%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 06:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -13.77%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 12:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -18.31%E -2.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 07:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -18.31%E -2.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -18.31%E -2.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 88.06%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.94%EV -31.02%E -4.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 11:54
ReBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.92%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -31.92%E -4.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.33%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.67%EV -35.55%E -5.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 11:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -36.46%E -5.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 11:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.6%2026-08-31 08:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-08-31 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-08-31 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-08-31 12:01
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-08-31 13:00
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%6.6%2026-08-31 11:50