StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jessica Pegula v Sofia Kenin

Matchstart: 2026-09-02 15:39 UTC

Slutresultat: Jessica Pegula 2–0 Sofia Kenin

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

66 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jessica Pegula (Hemma)

Prognos 90.28%1.11rättvist odds
EV -3.40%
Fördel -3.18%
Kelly -48.62%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.07

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
88.30%90.31%90.42%91.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.031.061.061.0797.09%94.75%94.34%93.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sofia Kenin (Borta)

Prognos 9.72%10.28rättvist odds
EV +11.81%
Fördel +1.03%
Kelly +1.13%
Tillväxt +0.133%

med antagandet om högsta odds 11.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
8.37%9.69%9.58%11.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
8.009.579.4511.5012.50%10.45%10.58%8.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jessica Pegula (Hemma): 90.28%; Sofia Kenin (Borta): 9.72%. För Sofia Kenin (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 10.28. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 11.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +11.81%.

Spelbolagsodds (66 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +11.81%E +1.03%K +1.13%G +0.133%3.9%2026-09-01 10:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +11.81%E +1.03%K +1.13%G +0.133%3.9%2026-09-01 10:50
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +6.95%E +0.632%K +0.695%G +0.048%4.3%2026-09-01 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.01%E -6.81%K -233.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +6.95%E +0.632%K +0.695%G +0.048%6.2%2026-09-02 06:00
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +5.01%E +0.464%K +0.511%G +0.026%4.5%2026-09-02 09:34
Pinnacle🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.90%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.62%G +0.000%10.69I 9.35%NM 9.10%EV +3.94%E +0.369%K +0.407%G +0.016%2.8%2026-09-02 14:31
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005%3.0%2026-09-02 07:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005%3.9%2026-09-02 09:15
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +2.09%E +0.199%K +0.220%G +0.005%4.8%2026-09-02 15:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 15:21
ReBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 07:20
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 05:59
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 07:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 07:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 12:25
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 06:45
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 15:20
888sport🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:00
William Hill🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.11%E -5.88%K -152.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:10
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.11%E -5.88%K -152.80%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.77%E -0.277%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 22:13
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.35%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.83I 10.17%NM 9.65%EV -4.42%E -0.450%K -0.501%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -5.20%E -0.533%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 07:15
Neds🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -5.20%E -0.533%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 07:15
Bet Right🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.63%E -0.803%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 07:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.63%E -0.803%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 09:15
BetUS🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.63%E -0.803%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 15:25
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.93%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.47I 10.56%NM 10.07%EV -7.92%E -0.837%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 15:20
BetAnything🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.91%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 10.09%EV -8.12%E -0.859%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 10:10
Fliff🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.09%EV -6.11%E -5.88%K -152.80%G +0.000%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.91%EV -8.12%E -0.859%K -0.961%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -8.60%E -0.915%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 12:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -8.60%E -0.915%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.86%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.14%EV -9.58%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 15:21
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.06%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 06:00
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.62%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.07I 11.03%NM 10.38%EV -11.81%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.62%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.07I 11.03%NM 10.38%EV -11.81%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 15:20
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 13:01
TABtouch🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Casumo🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
BetRivers🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Grosvenor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Unibet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Bally Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
betPARX🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 11:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 11:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 15:21
betfred_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 06:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 12:00
BetMGM🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.21%E -4.96%K -104.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.49%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 07:14
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.62%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -15.41%E -1.77%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 15:15
PlayUp🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.40%E -3.18%K -48.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.35%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 13:40
betano_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.35%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 08:20
TAB🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.31%E -4.06%K -71.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.22%E -2.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 14:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-09-02 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-09-02 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-09-02 15:25
Matchbook◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-09-02 15:25
ProphetX◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-09-02 14:00
Novig◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.57%13.33I 7.50%NM 7.43%1.0%2026-09-02 15:15
Kalshi◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-09-02 05:55
Smarkets◎1.06I 94.34%NM 92.97%14.01I 7.14%NM 7.03%1.5%2026-09-02 15:21