StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jessica Pegula v Sofia Kenin

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — WTA US Open

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jessica Pegula (Hemma)

Prognos 90.92%1.10rättvist odds
EV -4.53%
Fördel -4.32%
Kelly -90.62%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
87.17%90.75%90.78%92.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.021.041.051.0598.04%95.85%95.24%95.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sofia Kenin (Borta)

Prognos 9.08%11.02rättvist odds
EV +18.00%
Fördel +1.38%
Kelly +1.50%
Tillväxt +0.270%

med antagandet om högsta odds 13.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.47%9.25%9.22%12.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
7.0010.2310.0013.0014.29%9.78%10.00%7.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Jessica Pegula (Hemma): 90.92%; Sofia Kenin (Borta): 9.08%. För Sofia Kenin (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 11.02. 8 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 13.00, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +18.00%.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +18.00%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.270%2.9%2026-08-31 12:10
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +18.00%E +1.38%K +1.50%G +0.270%2.9%2026-08-31 09:34
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.43%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%12.82I 7.80%NM 7.57%EV +16.37%E +1.28%K +1.38%G +0.227%3.0%2026-08-31 12:11
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%3.6%2026-08-31 06:50
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%3.6%2026-08-31 06:50
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%4.5%2026-08-31 11:55
Bovada🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%4.5%2026-08-31 12:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.26%E -7.12%K -362.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +8.92%E +0.744%K +0.811%G +0.072%6.4%2026-08-31 11:55
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 12:45
Bet Right🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:45
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.154%E -0.014%K -0.015%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:45
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.29%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 8.71%EV -1.06%E -0.097%K -0.107%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 12:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.69%E -0.447%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 12:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -7.26%E -7.12%K -362.92%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -4.69%E -0.447%K -0.494%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 12:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -6.96%E -0.679%K -0.753%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 11:40
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.53%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.04I 9.96%NM 9.47%EV -8.87%E -0.883%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 06:55
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 06:45
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:06
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:06
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 12:05
PlayUp🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 07:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 07:35
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -9.23%E -0.923%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 06:55
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -11.50%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 12:45
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.53%E -4.32%K -90.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -13.77%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 06:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -13.77%E -1.45%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 12:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -18.31%E -2.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 07:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.44%E -5.23%K -136.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -18.31%E -2.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -18.31%E -2.03%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 88.06%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.94%EV -31.02%E -4.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 11:54
ReBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.92%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -31.92%E -4.26%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.33%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.67%EV -35.55%E -5.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 11:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 87.17%EV -6.35%E -6.16%K -211.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -36.46%E -5.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-31 11:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.6%2026-08-31 08:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-08-31 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-08-31 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-08-31 12:01
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%4.5%2026-08-31 13:00
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%6.6%2026-08-31 11:50