Language:English
Jasmine Paolini v Lucrezia Stefanini
Head to Head
Jasmine Paolini (Local)
Prediction 65.68%1.52fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -7.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.72%65.61%65.67%66.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.431.431.4771.94%70.00%69.93%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lucrezia Stefanini (Visit)
Prediction 34.32%2.91fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.770%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.02%34.39%34.33%35.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.732.752.8539.22%36.69%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jasmine Paolini (Local): 65.68%; Lucrezia Stefanini (Visit): 34.32%. For Lucrezia Stefanini (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.85, with an expected value of -2.19%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.45%E -2.35%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.19%E -0.770%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-31 01:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.91%E -1.40%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 01:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.76%E -3.28%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.91%E -1.40%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.28%E -1.91%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 22:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.07%E -4.25%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.07%E -4.25%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.07%E -4.25%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.28%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.72%EV -8.37%E -3.14%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.05%E -5.75%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 22:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.91%EV -8.05%E -5.75%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.09%EV -11.12%E -4.29%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -8.70%E -6.26%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -3.22%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.72%EV -8.70%E -6.26%K -22.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.28%EV -12.49%E -4.90%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.62% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 35.38% | 12.1% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 61.71% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 38.29% | 20.9% | 2026-08-31 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 61.71% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 38.29% | 20.9% | 2026-08-31 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 61.71% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 38.29% | 20.9% | 2026-08-31 01:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 50.00% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 50.00% | 66.7% | 2026-08-31 01:00 |