Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jasmine Paolini v Lucrezia Stefanini

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-02 15:02 UTC

Score final : Jasmine Paolini 2–0 Lucrezia Stefanini

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jasmine Paolini (Local)

Prévision 67.50%1.48cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -4.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.63%67.48%67.44%68.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.351.411.421.4574.07%70.76%70.67%68.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Lucrezia Stefanini (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.50%3.08cote équitable
EV -0.889%
Avantage -0.292%
Kelly -0.434%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.03%32.52%32.56%34.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.902.903.0536.36%34.54%34.48%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jasmine Paolini (Local) : 67.50% ; Lucrezia Stefanini (Visiteur) : 32.50%. Pour Lucrezia Stefanini (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.08. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.05, pour une espérance de -0.889% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.12%E -1.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -4.79%E -1.63%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.12%E -1.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -4.79%E -1.63%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 14:46
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.79%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.21%EV -1.54%E -0.508%K -0.758%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 10:15
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 14:54
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 11:25
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 14:05
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:06
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 03:41
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 03:40
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -2.84%E -0.950%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 13:04
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -6.09%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 21:40
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -7.71%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 11:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 11:20
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 12:40
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 04:48
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -1.21%E -0.399%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 14:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:40
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.11%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 07:05
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 04:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 12:15
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:40
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 08:05
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:05
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:10
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 03:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:05
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:05
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 12:19
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:05
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 17:05
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 03:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 12:45
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 14:51
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 14:05
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.889%E -0.292%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 12:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -5.11%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:55
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 03:40
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 03:40
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.84%E -4.96%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.889%E -0.292%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.84%E -4.96%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.19%E -6.02%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.87%E -6.57%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 05:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-02 14:55
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-02 14:00
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%0.9%2026-09-02 14:45
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-09-02 14:31
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-09-02 14:55