Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jasmine Paolini v Lucrezia Stefanini

Początek: 2026-09-02 15:02 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Jasmine Paolini 2–0 Lucrezia Stefanini

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

66 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jasmine Paolini (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 67.50%1.48kurs godziwy
EV -2.12%
Przewaga -1.46%
Kelly -4.71%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.45

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.63%67.48%67.44%68.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.351.411.421.4574.07%70.76%70.67%68.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Lucrezia Stefanini (Goście)

Prognoza 32.50%3.08kurs godziwy
EV -0.889%
Przewaga -0.292%
Kelly -0.434%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
31.03%32.52%32.56%34.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.902.903.0536.36%34.54%34.48%32.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Jasmine Paolini (Gospodarze): 67.50%; Lucrezia Stefanini (Goście): 32.50%. Dla wyniku Lucrezia Stefanini (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.08. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 3.05, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.889%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.12%E -1.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -4.79%E -1.63%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.12%E -1.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -4.79%E -1.63%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 14:46
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.79%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.21%EV -1.54%E -0.508%K -0.758%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 10:15
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 14:54
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 11:25
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 14:05
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:06
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 03:41
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 03:40
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -2.84%E -0.950%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 13:04
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -6.09%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 21:40
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -7.71%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 11:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 11:20
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 12:40
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 04:48
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -1.21%E -0.399%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 14:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:40
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.11%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 07:05
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 04:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 12:15
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:40
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 08:05
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:05
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:10
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 03:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:05
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:05
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 12:19
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:05
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 17:05
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 03:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 12:45
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 14:51
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 14:05
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.889%E -0.292%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 12:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -5.11%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:55
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 03:40
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 03:40
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.84%E -4.96%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.889%E -0.292%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.84%E -4.96%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.19%E -6.02%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.87%E -6.57%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 05:39
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (8)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-02 14:55
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-02 14:00
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%0.9%2026-09-02 14:45
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-09-02 14:31
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-09-02 14:55