Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jasmine Paolini v Lucrezia Stefanini

Início: 2026-09-02 15:02 UTC

Final: Jasmine Paolini 2–0 Lucrezia Stefanini

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jasmine Paolini (Local)

Previsão 67.50%1.48odd justa
EV -2.12%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -4.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.63%67.48%67.44%68.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.411.421.4574.07%70.76%70.67%68.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Lucrezia Stefanini (Visitante)

Previsão 32.50%3.08odd justa
EV -0.889%
Vantagem -0.292%
Kelly -0.434%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.03%32.52%32.56%34.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.902.903.0536.36%34.54%34.48%32.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jasmine Paolini (Local): 67.50%; Lucrezia Stefanini (Visitante): 32.50%. Para Lucrezia Stefanini (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.08. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.05, com valor esperado de -0.889%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.12%E -1.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -4.79%E -1.63%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.12%E -1.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -4.79%E -1.63%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 14:46
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.79%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.21%EV -1.54%E -0.508%K -0.758%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 10:15
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-02 14:54
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 11:25
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 14:05
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 11:25
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 14:06
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 03:41
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 03:40
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -2.84%E -0.950%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 13:04
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -6.09%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 21:40
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -7.71%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 11:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 11:20
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 12:40
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 04:48
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -1.21%E -0.399%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 14:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:40
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.11%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 07:05
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 04:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 12:15
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 03:40
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 08:05
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:05
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:10
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 03:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 17:05
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:05
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 12:19
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 07:05
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 17:05
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 03:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 12:45
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 14:51
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 14:05
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.889%E -0.292%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 12:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -5.11%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:55
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 03:40
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 03:40
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.84%E -4.96%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.889%E -0.292%K -0.434%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.84%E -4.96%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.19%E -6.02%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.87%E -6.57%K -25.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 05:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-02 14:55
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-02 14:55
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-09-02 14:00
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%0.9%2026-09-02 14:45
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-09-02 14:31
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-09-02 14:55