语言:简体中文
Jasmine Paolini v Lucrezia Stefanini
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Jasmine Paolini (主队)
预测 67.50%1.48公平赔率
EV -2.12%
优势 -1.46%
Kelly -4.71%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.45
博彩公司预测分布
65.63%67.48%67.44%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.411.421.4574.07%70.76%70.67%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lucrezia Stefanini (客队)
预测 32.50%3.08公平赔率
EV -0.889%
优势 -0.292%
Kelly -0.434%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.05
博彩公司预测分布
31.03%32.52%32.56%34.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.902.903.0536.36%34.54%34.48%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Jasmine Paolini (主队)：67.50%；Lucrezia Stefanini (客队)：32.50%。 对于“Lucrezia Stefanini (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.08。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.05，期望值为-0.889%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.12%E -1.46%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -4.79%E -1.63%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.12%E -1.46%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -4.79%E -1.63%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.79%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.21%EV -1.54%E -0.508%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 10:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:06 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 03:41 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 03:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -2.84%E -0.950%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 13:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -6.09%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -7.71%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 11:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 11:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 04:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -1.21%E -0.399%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 03:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 03:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.11%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 04:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 12:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 03:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 07:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 03:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 03:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.889%E -0.292%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -5.11%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 03:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 03:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.84%E -4.96%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.889%E -0.292%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.84%E -4.96%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.19%E -6.02%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.87%E -6.57%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 05:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 14:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |