Idioma:Español
Jasmine Paolini v Lucrezia Stefanini
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jasmine Paolini (Local)
Predicción 67.50%1.48momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -4.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%67.48%67.44%68.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.351.411.421.4574.07%70.76%70.67%68.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Lucrezia Stefanini (Visitante)
Predicción 32.50%3.08momio equitativo
EV -0.889%
Ventaja -0.292%
Kelly -0.434%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.03%32.52%32.56%34.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.902.903.0536.36%34.54%34.48%32.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jasmine Paolini (Local): 67.50%; Lucrezia Stefanini (Visitante): 32.50%. Para Lucrezia Stefanini (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.08. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.05, con un valor esperado de -0.889%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.12%E -1.46%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -4.79%E -1.63%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.12%E -1.46%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -4.79%E -1.63%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 14:46 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.79%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.21%EV -1.54%E -0.508%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-02 10:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.79%E -1.94%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 11:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.47%E -2.43%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 14:06 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 03:41 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 03:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -2.84%E -0.950%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 13:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -6.09%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.39%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -7.71%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 11:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 11:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.14%E -2.92%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 04:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -1.21%E -0.399%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 03:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 03:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.11%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.82%E -3.42%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 04:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 12:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 03:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.14%E -1.40%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 07:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 03:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 12:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 07:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 03:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.41%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.01%E -3.22%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 14:51 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.49%E -3.92%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.64%E -3.87%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -0.889%E -0.292%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -5.11%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 03:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -6.17%E -4.44%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -5.76%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 03:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.84%E -4.96%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.889%E -0.292%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.84%E -4.96%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.19%E -6.02%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.87%E -6.57%K -25.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.51%E -0.838%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 05:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 14:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 14:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43% | 2.0% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-09-02 14:55 |