语言:简体中文
Aryna Sabalenka v Taylor Townsend
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Aryna Sabalenka (主队)
预测 81.30%1.23公平赔率
EV -2.45%
优势 -2.04%
Kelly -12.23%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.20
博彩公司预测分布
78.95%81.08%81.22%83.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.141.171.171.2087.72%85.44%85.47%83.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
Taylor Townsend (客队)
预测 18.70%5.35公平赔率
EV +8.49%
优势 +1.46%
Kelly +1.77%
增长率 +0.150%
假设最高赔率为 5.80
博彩公司预测分布
16.43%18.92%18.78%21.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.065.005.8022.22%19.77%20.00%17.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Aryna Sabalenka (主队)：81.30%；Taylor Townsend (客队)：18.70%。 对于“Taylor Townsend (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.35。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.80，对应+8.49%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +7.55%E +1.31%K +1.59%G +0.120% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 15:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +2.87%E +0.523%K +0.639%G +0.018% | 2.9% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -0.866%E -0.163%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 10:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.22%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.78%EV -2.92%E -0.563%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.07%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.93%EV -3.86%E -0.751%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 15:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -5.54%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -5.54%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 04:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 13:56 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 14:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 14:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-05 22:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -7.79%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -7.79%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -9.28%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 04:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -13.02%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -13.02%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.96%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 0.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |