Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka v Taylor Townsend

Início: 2026-09-06 15:35 UTC

Final: Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Taylor Townsend

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 81.30%1.23odd justa
EV -2.45%
Vantagem -2.04%
Kelly -12.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.95%81.08%81.22%83.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.141.171.171.2087.72%85.44%85.47%83.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Taylor Townsend (Visitante)

Previsão 18.70%5.35odd justa
EV +8.49%
Vantagem +1.46%
Kelly +1.77%
Crescimento +0.150%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.43%18.92%18.78%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.505.065.005.8022.22%19.77%20.00%17.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 81.30%; Taylor Townsend (Visitante): 18.70%. Para Taylor Townsend (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.35. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.49%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150%5.0%2026-09-06 15:10
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150%5.0%2026-09-06 15:05
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150%5.0%2026-09-06 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +7.55%E +1.31%K +1.59%G +0.120%5.1%2026-09-06 15:06
Coolbet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +2.87%E +0.523%K +0.639%G +0.018%2.9%2026-09-06 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -0.866%E -0.163%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:05
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 10:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 15:05
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:59
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.22%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.78%EV -2.92%E -0.563%K -0.698%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 15:25
GTbets🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.07%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.93%EV -3.86%E -0.751%K -0.932%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-06 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 15:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 15:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 15:25
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -5.54%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -5.54%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 15:05
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 15:25
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 04:19
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 13:56
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 14:35
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 14:35
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-05 22:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -7.79%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 15:05
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -7.79%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 15:05
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -9.28%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 15:25
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 04:20
TAB🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 15:05
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 13:35
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 15:05
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -13.02%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -13.02%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.96%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 15:25
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:25
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Novig◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63%5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37%0.8%2026-09-06 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-09-06 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-09-06 15:20
ProphetX◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-09-06 15:25
Matchbook◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-09-06 15:25
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79%2.2%2026-09-06 15:25