Langue:Français
Aryna Sabalenka v Taylor Townsend
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prévision 81.30%1.23cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -2.04%
Kelly -12.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.95%81.08%81.22%83.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.141.171.171.2087.72%85.44%85.47%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Taylor Townsend (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.70%5.35cote équitable
EV +8.49%
Avantage +1.46%
Kelly +1.77%
Croissance +0.150%
avec la cote maximale 5.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.43%18.92%18.78%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.065.005.8022.22%19.77%20.00%17.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 81.30% ; Taylor Townsend (Visiteur) : 18.70%. Pour Taylor Townsend (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.35. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.80, soit une espérance positive de +8.49%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +7.55%E +1.31%K +1.59%G +0.120% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 15:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +2.87%E +0.523%K +0.639%G +0.018% | 2.9% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -0.866%E -0.163%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 10:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.22%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.78%EV -2.92%E -0.563%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.07%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.93%EV -3.86%E -0.751%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 15:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -5.54%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -5.54%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 04:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 13:56 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 14:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 14:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-05 22:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -7.79%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -7.79%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -9.28%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 04:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -13.02%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -13.02%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.96%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 0.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |