Язык:Русский
Aryna Sabalenka v Taylor Townsend
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Aryna Sabalenka (Хозяева)
Прогноз 81.30%1.23справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.45%
Преимущество -2.04%
Kelly -12.23%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
78.95%81.08%81.22%83.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.141.171.171.2087.72%85.44%85.47%83.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Taylor Townsend (Гости)
Прогноз 18.70%5.35справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.49%
Преимущество +1.46%
Kelly +1.77%
Рост +0.150%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.43%18.92%18.78%21.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.065.005.8022.22%19.77%20.00%17.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Aryna Sabalenka (Хозяева): 81.30%; Taylor Townsend (Гости): 18.70%. Для исхода «Taylor Townsend (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.35. 5 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.80, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +8.49%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +7.55%E +1.31%K +1.59%G +0.120% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 15:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +2.87%E +0.523%K +0.639%G +0.018% | 2.9% | 2026-09-06 14:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -0.866%E -0.163%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 10:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.22%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.78%EV -2.92%E -0.563%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.07%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.93%EV -3.86%E -0.751%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 15:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -5.54%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -5.54%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 04:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 13:56 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 14:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 14:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-05 22:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -7.79%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -7.79%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -9.28%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 04:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -13.02%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -13.02%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.96%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (7)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90% | 0.3% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63% | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-09-06 15:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 15:25 |