StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka v Taylor Townsend

Matchstart: 2026-09-06 15:35 UTC

Slutresultat: Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Taylor Townsend

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

66 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma)

Prognos 81.30%1.23rättvist odds
EV -2.45%
Fördel -2.04%
Kelly -12.23%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
78.95%81.08%81.22%83.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.141.171.171.2087.72%85.44%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Taylor Townsend (Borta)

Prognos 18.70%5.35rättvist odds
EV +8.49%
Fördel +1.46%
Kelly +1.77%
Tillväxt +0.150%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.43%18.92%18.78%21.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.505.065.005.8022.22%19.77%20.00%17.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma): 81.30%; Taylor Townsend (Borta): 18.70%. För Taylor Townsend (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.35. 5 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.80, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.49%.

Spelbolagsodds (66 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150%5.0%2026-09-06 15:10
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150%5.0%2026-09-06 15:05
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150%5.0%2026-09-06 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +7.55%E +1.31%K +1.59%G +0.120%5.1%2026-09-06 15:06
Coolbet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +2.87%E +0.523%K +0.639%G +0.018%2.9%2026-09-06 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -0.866%E -0.163%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:05
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 10:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 15:05
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:59
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.22%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.78%EV -2.92%E -0.563%K -0.698%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 15:25
GTbets🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.07%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.93%EV -3.86%E -0.751%K -0.932%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-06 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 15:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 15:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 15:25
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -5.54%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -5.54%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 15:05
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 15:25
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 04:19
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 13:56
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 14:35
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 14:35
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-05 22:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -7.79%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 15:05
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -7.79%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 15:05
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -9.28%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 15:25
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 04:20
TAB🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 15:05
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 13:35
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 15:05
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -13.02%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -13.02%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.96%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 15:25
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:25
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Novig◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63%5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37%0.8%2026-09-06 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-09-06 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-09-06 15:20
ProphetX◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-09-06 15:25
Matchbook◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-09-06 15:25
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79%2.2%2026-09-06 15:25