Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Aryna Sabalenka v Taylor Townsend

Początek: 2026-09-06 15:35 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Aryna Sabalenka 2–0 Taylor Townsend

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

66 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Aryna Sabalenka (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 81.30%1.23kurs godziwy
EV -2.45%
Przewaga -2.04%
Kelly -12.23%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
78.95%81.08%81.22%83.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.141.171.171.2087.72%85.44%85.47%83.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Taylor Townsend (Goście)

Prognoza 18.70%5.35kurs godziwy
EV +8.49%
Przewaga +1.46%
Kelly +1.77%
Wzrost +0.150%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.43%18.92%18.78%21.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.505.065.005.8022.22%19.77%20.00%17.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Aryna Sabalenka (Gospodarze): 81.30%; Taylor Townsend (Goście): 18.70%. Dla wyniku Taylor Townsend (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.35. 5 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 5.80, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +8.49%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (66 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150%5.0%2026-09-06 15:10
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150%5.0%2026-09-06 15:05
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +8.49%E +1.46%K +1.77%G +0.150%5.0%2026-09-06 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +7.55%E +1.31%K +1.59%G +0.120%5.1%2026-09-06 15:06
Coolbet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV +2.87%E +0.523%K +0.639%G +0.018%2.9%2026-09-06 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -0.866%E -0.163%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.52%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.48%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:05
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 10:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 15:05
ReBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.652%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:59
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.22%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.78%EV -2.92%E -0.563%K -0.698%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 15:25
GTbets🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.07%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.93%EV -3.86%E -0.751%K -0.932%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-06 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 15:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 15:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 15:25
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -5.54%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -5.54%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 15:05
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 15:25
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 04:19
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 13:56
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 15:25
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 14:35
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.51%E -5.66%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 14:35
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-05 22:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.32%E -6.42%K -52.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -7.79%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 15:05
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.95%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.05%EV -7.79%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 15:05
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -9.28%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 15:25
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 04:20
TAB🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -4.88%E -4.17%K -28.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.70%E -4.91%K -35.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 15:05
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 13:35
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.07%E -3.45%K -22.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 15:05
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -13.02%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -13.02%E -2.80%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.26%E -2.74%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -13.96%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 15:25
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:25
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.45%E -2.04%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 15:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 83.10%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-09-06 15:25
Novig◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.63%5.71I 17.51%NM 17.37%0.8%2026-09-06 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-09-06 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-09-06 15:20
ProphetX◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-09-06 15:25
Matchbook◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-09-06 15:25
Smarkets◎1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79%2.2%2026-09-06 15:25