The School of Odds

Lucrezia Stefanini v Jelena Ostapenko

Matchstart: 2026-05-06 10:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Lucrezia Stefanini (Hemma)

Prognos 6.59%15.18rättvist odds
EV +77.85%
Fördel +2.88%
Kelly +2.99%
Tillväxt +2.33%

med antagandet om högsta odds 27.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
3.61%7.16%6.37%14.25%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
6.5013.1413.0027.0015.38%7.61%7.69%3.70%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Jelena Ostapenko (Borta)

Prognos 93.41%1.07rättvist odds
EV +3.69%
Fördel +3.32%
Kelly +33.53%
Tillväxt +1.24%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.11

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
85.75%92.84%93.63%96.39%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.001.031.021.11100.00%96.95%98.04%90.09%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings27.00I 3.70%NM 3.61%EV +77.85%E +2.88%K +2.99%G +2.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-06 09:18
Winamax (FR)22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +44.92%E +2.04%K +2.14%G +0.961%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 09:19
Winamax (DE)22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +44.92%E +2.04%K +2.14%G +0.961%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 09:20
BoyleSports21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +38.33%E +1.83%K +1.92%G +0.735%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 09:20
Coral21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +38.33%E +1.83%K +1.92%G +0.735%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 09:19
Betway21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +38.33%E +1.83%K +1.92%G +0.735%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.59%E -6.59%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 09:19
Hard Rock Bet18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV +21.86%E +1.18%K +1.25%G +0.273%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 09:17
theScore Bet18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +18.57%E +1.03%K +1.09%G +0.203%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 09:19
Unibet (SE)18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +18.57%E +1.03%K +1.09%G +0.203%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 09:17
Ladbrokes (UK)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 09:19
Coolbet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 09:19
888sport17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 09:20
Mr Green (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 09:19
888sport (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 09:19
Fanatics17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -6.59%E -6.59%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 09:19
BetMGM16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +5.39%E +0.337%K +0.360%G +0.019%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 09:18
Unibet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:15
Casumo15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:15
FanDuel15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:20
Svenska Spel15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:14
betPARX15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:15
ATG (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:15
PointsBet (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 09:19
TAB15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 09:14
Unibet (NL)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -7.78%E -0.556%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 09:14
NordicBet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -7.78%E -0.556%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 09:20
Betsson13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -11.07%E -0.820%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:18
Virgin Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:15
LiveScore Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:14
BetRivers13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:15
Grosvenor13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:15
Bet Victor13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:20
Paddy Power13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:19
Caesars13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:19
TABtouch12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.95%E -1.75%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:14
Bally Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.95%E -1.75%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:14
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -27.54%E -2.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 09:14
LeoVegas11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -27.54%E -2.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 09:13
LeoVegas (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -30.83%E -2.94%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 09:14
Fliff10.30I 9.71%NM 8.93%EV -32.15%E -3.12%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.07%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 09:12
Betclic (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -34.13%E -3.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 09:18
BetUS9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -40.72%E -4.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 09:03
1xBet8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -40.85%E -4.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 08:59
SportsBet8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -43.35%E -5.04%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 09:05
LowVig.ag8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -43.75%E -5.12%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%4.3%2026-05-06 09:05
BetOnline.ag8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -43.75%E -5.12%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%4.3%2026-05-06 09:05
Unibet (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -44.01%E -5.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 08:59
PMU (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -44.01%E -5.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 89.38%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-06 09:10
ReBet8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -44.67%E -5.32%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%4.5%2026-05-06 08:59
Marathon Bet8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -45.33%E -5.46%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 08:59
GTbets8.26I 12.11%NM 11.85%EV -45.59%E -5.52%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.15%EV +3.69%E +3.32%K +33.53%G +1.24%2.2%2026-05-06 08:59
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -47.30%E -5.91%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 08:58
Bet Right8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -47.30%E -5.91%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -2.85%E -2.74%K -71.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 09:04
Pinnacle7.79I 12.84%NM 12.37%EV -48.69%E -6.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.63%EV +2.75%E +2.50%K +27.54%G +0.759%3.7%2026-05-06 09:05
Unibet (FR)7.70I 12.99%NM 12.20%EV -49.28%E -6.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.80%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:04
Betr (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -50.60%E -6.75%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%5.9%2026-05-06 09:04
PlayUp7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -50.60%E -6.75%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%5.9%2026-05-06 09:08
Ladbrokes (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -53.89%E -7.70%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 09:05
Neds7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -53.89%E -7.70%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 09:05
Everygame6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -57.18%E -8.80%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%8.0%2026-05-06 09:04
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)32.00I 3.13%NM 3.12%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.88%0.2%2026-05-06 09:20
Smarkets40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%0.5%2026-05-06 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%0.5%2026-05-06 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%0.8%2026-05-06 09:20
Matchbook28.00I 3.57%NM 3.51%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.49%1.6%2026-05-06 09:20
Novig15.38I 6.50%NM 6.11%1.00I 100.00%NM 93.89%6.5%2026-05-06 09:20