La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lucrezia Stefanini v Jelena Ostapenko
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lucrezia Stefanini (Local)
Predicción 6.59%15.18momio equitativo
EV +77.85%
Ventaja +2.88%
Kelly +2.99%
Crecimiento +2.33%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 27.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
3.61%7.16%6.37%14.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.5013.1413.0027.0015.38%7.61%7.69%3.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jelena Ostapenko (Visitante)
Predicción 93.41%1.07momio equitativo
EV +3.69%
Ventaja +3.32%
Kelly +33.53%
Crecimiento +1.24%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.75%92.84%93.63%96.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.031.021.11100.00%96.95%98.04%90.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.61%EV +77.85%E +2.88%K +2.99%G +2.33% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 09:18 |
| Winamax (FR) | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +44.92%E +2.04%K +2.14%G +0.961% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +44.92%E +2.04%K +2.14%G +0.961% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| BoyleSports | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +38.33%E +1.83%K +1.92%G +0.735% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Coral | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +38.33%E +1.83%K +1.92%G +0.735% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Betway | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +38.33%E +1.83%K +1.92%G +0.735% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.59%E -6.59%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV +21.86%E +1.18%K +1.25%G +0.273% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 09:17 |
| theScore Bet | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +18.57%E +1.03%K +1.09%G +0.203% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +18.57%E +1.03%K +1.09%G +0.203% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 09:17 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Coolbet | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| 888sport | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Fanatics | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -6.59%E -6.59%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| BetMGM | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +5.39%E +0.337%K +0.360%G +0.019% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 09:18 |
| Unibet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Casumo | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| FanDuel | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| betPARX | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| TAB | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -7.78%E -0.556%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| NordicBet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -7.78%E -0.556%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Betsson | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -11.07%E -0.820%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 09:18 |
| Virgin Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| BetRivers | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Grosvenor | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Bet Victor | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Paddy Power | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Caesars | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| TABtouch | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.95%E -1.75%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Bally Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.95%E -1.75%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -27.54%E -2.50%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| LeoVegas | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -27.54%E -2.50%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 09:13 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -30.83%E -2.94%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Fliff | 10.30I 9.71%NM 8.93%EV -32.15%E -3.12%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.07%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 09:12 |
| Betclic (FR) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -34.13%E -3.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 09:18 |
| BetUS | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -40.72%E -4.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 09:03 |
| 1xBet | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -40.85%E -4.55%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| SportsBet | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -43.35%E -5.04%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -43.75%E -5.12%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -43.75%E -5.12%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -44.01%E -5.18%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -44.01%E -5.18%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.38%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-06 09:10 |
| ReBet | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -44.67%E -5.32%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -45.33%E -5.46%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| GTbets | 8.26I 12.11%NM 11.85%EV -45.59%E -5.52%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.15%EV +3.69%E +3.32%K +33.53%G +1.24% | 2.2% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| William Hill | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -47.30%E -5.91%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 08:58 |
| Bet Right | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -47.30%E -5.91%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -2.85%E -2.74%K -71.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| Pinnacle | 7.79I 12.84%NM 12.37%EV -48.69%E -6.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.63%EV +2.75%E +2.50%K +27.54%G +0.759% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.20%EV -49.28%E -6.40%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.80%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -50.60%E -6.75%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| PlayUp | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -50.60%E -6.75%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 09:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -53.89%E -7.70%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Neds | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -53.89%E -7.70%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Everygame | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -57.18%E -8.80%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.12% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.88% | 0.2% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Smarkets | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Matchbook | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.51% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.49% | 1.6% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Novig | 15.38I 6.50%NM 6.11% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.89% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |