مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lucrezia Stefanini v Jelena Ostapenko

البداية: 2026-05-06 10:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lucrezia Stefanini (المضيف)

التنبؤ 6.59%15.18السعر العادل
EV +77.85%
الأفضلية +2.88%
Kelly +2.99%
النمو +2.33%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 27.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
3.61%7.16%6.37%14.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.5013.1413.0027.0015.38%7.61%7.69%3.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jelena Ostapenko (الضيف)

التنبؤ 93.41%1.07السعر العادل
EV +3.69%
الأفضلية +3.32%
Kelly +33.53%
النمو +1.24%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.11

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
85.75%92.84%93.63%96.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.001.031.021.11100.00%96.95%98.04%90.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings27.00I 3.70%NM 3.61%EV +77.85%E +2.88%K +2.99%G +2.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-06 09:18
Winamax (FR)22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +44.92%E +2.04%K +2.14%G +0.961%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 09:19
Winamax (DE)22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +44.92%E +2.04%K +2.14%G +0.961%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 09:20
BoyleSports21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +38.33%E +1.83%K +1.92%G +0.735%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 09:20
Coral21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +38.33%E +1.83%K +1.92%G +0.735%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 09:19
Betway21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +38.33%E +1.83%K +1.92%G +0.735%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.59%E -6.59%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 09:19
Hard Rock Bet18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV +21.86%E +1.18%K +1.25%G +0.273%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 09:17
theScore Bet18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +18.57%E +1.03%K +1.09%G +0.203%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 09:19
Unibet (SE)18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +18.57%E +1.03%K +1.09%G +0.203%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 09:17
Ladbrokes (UK)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 09:19
Coolbet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 09:19
888sport17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 09:20
Mr Green (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 09:19
888sport (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 09:19
Fanatics17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -6.59%E -6.59%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 09:19
BetMGM16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +5.39%E +0.337%K +0.360%G +0.019%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 09:18
Unibet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:15
Casumo15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:15
FanDuel15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:20
Svenska Spel15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:14
betPARX15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:15
ATG (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:15
PointsBet (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 09:19
TAB15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 09:14
Unibet (NL)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -7.78%E -0.556%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 09:14
NordicBet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -7.78%E -0.556%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 09:20
Betsson13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -11.07%E -0.820%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:18
Virgin Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:15
LiveScore Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:14
BetRivers13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:15
Grosvenor13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:15
Bet Victor13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:20
Paddy Power13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:19
Caesars13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:19
TABtouch12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.95%E -1.75%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:14
Bally Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.95%E -1.75%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:14
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -27.54%E -2.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 09:14
LeoVegas11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -27.54%E -2.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 09:13
LeoVegas (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -30.83%E -2.94%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 09:14
Fliff10.30I 9.71%NM 8.93%EV -32.15%E -3.12%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.07%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 09:12
Betclic (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -34.13%E -3.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 09:18
BetUS9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -40.72%E -4.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 09:03
1xBet8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -40.85%E -4.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 08:59
SportsBet8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -43.35%E -5.04%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 09:05
LowVig.ag8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -43.75%E -5.12%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%4.3%2026-05-06 09:05
BetOnline.ag8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -43.75%E -5.12%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%4.3%2026-05-06 09:05
Unibet (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -44.01%E -5.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 08:59
PMU (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -44.01%E -5.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 89.38%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-06 09:10
ReBet8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -44.67%E -5.32%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%4.5%2026-05-06 08:59
Marathon Bet8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -45.33%E -5.46%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 08:59
GTbets8.26I 12.11%NM 11.85%EV -45.59%E -5.52%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.15%EV +3.69%E +3.32%K +33.53%G +1.24%2.2%2026-05-06 08:59
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -47.30%E -5.91%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 08:58
Bet Right8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -47.30%E -5.91%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -2.85%E -2.74%K -71.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 09:04
Pinnacle7.79I 12.84%NM 12.37%EV -48.69%E -6.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.63%EV +2.75%E +2.50%K +27.54%G +0.759%3.7%2026-05-06 09:05
Unibet (FR)7.70I 12.99%NM 12.20%EV -49.28%E -6.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.80%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:04
Betr (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -50.60%E -6.75%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%5.9%2026-05-06 09:04
PlayUp7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -50.60%E -6.75%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%5.9%2026-05-06 09:08
Ladbrokes (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -53.89%E -7.70%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 09:05
Neds7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -53.89%E -7.70%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 09:05
Everygame6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -57.18%E -8.80%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%8.0%2026-05-06 09:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)32.00I 3.13%NM 3.12%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.88%0.2%2026-05-06 09:20
Smarkets40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%0.5%2026-05-06 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%0.5%2026-05-06 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%0.8%2026-05-06 09:20
Matchbook28.00I 3.57%NM 3.51%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.49%1.6%2026-05-06 09:20
Novig15.38I 6.50%NM 6.11%1.00I 100.00%NM 93.89%6.5%2026-05-06 09:20