Język:Polski
Lucrezia Stefanini v Jelena Ostapenko
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Lucrezia Stefanini (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 6.59%15.18kurs godziwy
EV +77.85%
Przewaga +2.88%
Kelly +2.99%
Wzrost +2.33%
przy maksymalnym kursie 27.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
3.61%7.16%6.37%14.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.5013.1413.0027.0015.38%7.61%7.69%3.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Jelena Ostapenko (Goście)
Prognoza 93.41%1.07kurs godziwy
EV +3.69%
Przewaga +3.32%
Kelly +33.53%
Wzrost +1.24%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.11
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
85.75%92.84%93.63%96.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.001.031.021.11100.00%96.95%98.04%90.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Lucrezia Stefanini (Gospodarze): 6.59%; Jelena Ostapenko (Goście): 93.41%. Dla wyniku Lucrezia Stefanini (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 15.18. 16 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 27.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +77.85%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.61%EV +77.85%E +2.88%K +2.99%G +2.33% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 09:18 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +44.92%E +2.04%K +2.14%G +0.961% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +44.92%E +2.04%K +2.14%G +0.961% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +38.33%E +1.83%K +1.92%G +0.735% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +38.33%E +1.83%K +1.92%G +0.735% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +38.33%E +1.83%K +1.92%G +0.735% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.59%E -6.59%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV +21.86%E +1.18%K +1.25%G +0.273% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 09:17 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +18.57%E +1.03%K +1.09%G +0.203% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +18.57%E +1.03%K +1.09%G +0.203% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 09:17 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -6.59%E -6.59%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +5.39%E +0.337%K +0.360%G +0.019% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 09:18 |
| Unibet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -7.78%E -0.556%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -7.78%E -0.556%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -11.07%E -0.820%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 09:18 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 09:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.95%E -1.75%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.95%E -1.75%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -27.54%E -2.50%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -27.54%E -2.50%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 09:13 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -30.83%E -2.94%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 10.30I 9.71%NM 8.93%EV -32.15%E -3.12%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.07%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 09:12 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -34.13%E -3.41%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 09:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -40.72%E -4.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 09:03 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -40.85%E -4.55%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -43.35%E -5.04%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -43.75%E -5.12%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -43.75%E -5.12%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -44.01%E -5.18%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -44.01%E -5.18%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.38%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-06 09:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -44.67%E -5.32%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -45.33%E -5.46%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.26I 12.11%NM 11.85%EV -45.59%E -5.52%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.15%EV +3.69%E +3.32%K +33.53%G +1.24% | 2.2% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -47.30%E -5.91%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 08:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -47.30%E -5.91%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -2.85%E -2.74%K -71.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.79I 12.84%NM 12.37%EV -48.69%E -6.25%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.63%EV +2.75%E +2.50%K +27.54%G +0.759% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.20%EV -49.28%E -6.40%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.80%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -50.60%E -6.75%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -50.60%E -6.75%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 09:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -53.89%E -7.70%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -53.89%E -7.70%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -57.18%E -8.80%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (6)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.12% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.88% | 0.2% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.51% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.49% | 1.6% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |
| Novig◎ | 15.38I 6.50%NM 6.11% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.89% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 09:20 |