A Escola das Odds

Lucrezia Stefanini v Jelena Ostapenko

Início: 2026-05-06 10:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Lucrezia Stefanini (Local)

Previsão 6.59%15.18odd justa
EV +77.85%
Vantagem +2.88%
Kelly +2.99%
Crescimento +2.33%

pressupondo odds máximas de 27.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
3.61%7.16%6.37%14.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.5013.1413.0027.0015.38%7.61%7.69%3.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jelena Ostapenko (Visitante)

Previsão 93.41%1.07odd justa
EV +3.69%
Vantagem +3.32%
Kelly +33.53%
Crescimento +1.24%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
85.75%92.84%93.63%96.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.031.021.11100.00%96.95%98.04%90.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings27.00I 3.70%NM 3.61%EV +77.85%E +2.88%K +2.99%G +2.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-06 09:18
Winamax (FR)22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +44.92%E +2.04%K +2.14%G +0.961%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 09:19
Winamax (DE)22.00I 4.55%NM 4.39%EV +44.92%E +2.04%K +2.14%G +0.961%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.61%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 09:20
BoyleSports21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +38.33%E +1.83%K +1.92%G +0.735%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 09:20
Coral21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +38.33%E +1.83%K +1.92%G +0.735%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-06 09:19
Betway21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +38.33%E +1.83%K +1.92%G +0.735%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -6.59%E -6.59%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 09:19
Hard Rock Bet18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV +21.86%E +1.18%K +1.25%G +0.273%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 09:17
theScore Bet18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +18.57%E +1.03%K +1.09%G +0.203%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 09:19
Unibet (SE)18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +18.57%E +1.03%K +1.09%G +0.203%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 09:17
Ladbrokes (UK)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 09:19
Coolbet17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 09:19
888sport17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 09:20
Mr Green (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 09:19
888sport (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 09:19
Fanatics17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +11.98%E +0.705%K +0.749%G +0.090%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -6.59%E -6.59%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 09:19
BetMGM16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +5.39%E +0.337%K +0.360%G +0.019%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 09:18
Unibet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:15
Casumo15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:15
FanDuel15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:20
Svenska Spel15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:14
betPARX15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:15
ATG (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:15
PointsBet (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 09:19
TAB15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.19%E -0.080%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 09:14
Unibet (NL)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -7.78%E -0.556%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 09:14
NordicBet14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -7.78%E -0.556%K -0.598%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 09:20
Betsson13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -11.07%E -0.820%K -0.886%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:18
Virgin Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:15
LiveScore Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:14
BetRivers13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:15
Grosvenor13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:15
Bet Victor13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:20
Paddy Power13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:19
Caesars13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.37%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 09:19
TABtouch12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.95%E -1.75%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:14
Bally Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -20.95%E -1.75%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:14
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -27.54%E -2.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -235.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 09:14
LeoVegas11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -27.54%E -2.50%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 09:13
LeoVegas (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -30.83%E -2.94%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 09:14
Fliff10.30I 9.71%NM 8.93%EV -32.15%E -3.12%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.07%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 09:12
Betclic (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -34.13%E -3.41%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 09:18
BetUS9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -40.72%E -4.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 09:03
1xBet8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -40.85%E -4.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 08:59
SportsBet8.60I 11.63%NM 11.07%EV -43.35%E -5.04%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.93%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 09:05
LowVig.ag8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -43.75%E -5.12%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%4.3%2026-05-06 09:05
BetOnline.ag8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -43.75%E -5.12%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%4.3%2026-05-06 09:05
Unibet (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -44.01%E -5.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 08:59
PMU (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -44.01%E -5.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 89.38%EV -5.65%E -5.60%K -565.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-06 09:10
ReBet8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV -44.67%E -5.32%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%4.5%2026-05-06 08:59
Marathon Bet8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -45.33%E -5.46%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 08:59
GTbets8.26I 12.11%NM 11.85%EV -45.59%E -5.52%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.15%EV +3.69%E +3.32%K +33.53%G +1.24%2.2%2026-05-06 08:59
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -47.30%E -5.91%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 08:58
Bet Right8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -47.30%E -5.91%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -2.85%E -2.74%K -71.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 09:04
Pinnacle7.79I 12.84%NM 12.37%EV -48.69%E -6.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.63%EV +2.75%E +2.50%K +27.54%G +0.759%3.7%2026-05-06 09:05
Unibet (FR)7.70I 12.99%NM 12.20%EV -49.28%E -6.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.80%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:04
Betr (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -50.60%E -6.75%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%5.9%2026-05-06 09:04
PlayUp7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -50.60%E -6.75%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%5.9%2026-05-06 09:08
Ladbrokes (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -53.89%E -7.70%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 09:05
Neds7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -53.89%E -7.70%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -0.048%E -0.045%K -0.690%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 09:05
Everygame6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -57.18%E -8.80%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV +0.886%E +0.820%K +11.07%G +0.098%8.0%2026-05-06 09:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)32.00I 3.13%NM 3.12%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.88%0.2%2026-05-06 09:20
Smarkets40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%0.5%2026-05-06 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%0.5%2026-05-06 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)27.00I 3.70%NM 3.67%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33%0.8%2026-05-06 09:20
Matchbook28.00I 3.57%NM 3.51%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.49%1.6%2026-05-06 09:20
Novig15.38I 6.50%NM 6.11%1.00I 100.00%NM 93.89%6.5%2026-05-06 09:20