The School of Odds

Jessica Pegula v Jelena Ostapenko

Matchstart: 2026-03-09 18:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Jessica Pegula (Hemma)

Prognos 81.07%1.23rättvist odds
EV -1.10%
Fördel -0.898%
Kelly -4.98%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.22

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
76.92%81.04%81.30%84.67%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.111.171.171.2290.09%85.25%85.47%81.97%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Jelena Ostapenko (Borta)

Prognos 18.93%5.28rättvist odds
EV +18.13%
Fördel +2.90%
Kelly +3.46%
Tillväxt +0.627%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.24

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.33%18.96%18.70%23.08%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.004.804.806.2425.00%20.82%20.83%16.03%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.67%EV -8.39%E -7.43%K -64.55%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.33%EV +18.13%E +2.90%K +3.46%G +0.627%4.5%2026-03-09 18:15
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +13.58%E +2.26%K +2.72%G +0.369%6.0%2026-03-09 18:14
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -10.01%E -9.02%K -91.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +13.58%E +2.26%K +2.72%G +0.369%6.8%2026-03-09 18:14
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038%5.1%2026-03-09 18:15
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.39%E -7.43%K -64.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038%6.7%2026-03-09 18:14
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038%7.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +0.332%E +0.063%K +0.077%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:14
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 18:15
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 18:14
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.56%E -0.300%K -0.372%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 18:14
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 82.14%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.86%EV -2.51%E -0.487%K -0.604%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:15
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:14
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:14
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:14
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 18:14
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:15
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:15
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:15
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 18:15
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 18:15
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -11.97%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 18:15
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 18:10
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -1.91%E -1.58%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -14.06%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 18:08
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 18:03
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 18:15
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 18:14
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.91%E -1.58%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 18:08
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:15
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:15
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:13
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:13
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:08
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 18:13
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-09 18:15
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -17.08%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 18:07
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -18.60%E -4.33%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 18:04
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -19.55%E -4.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 17:59
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 18:10
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 18:07
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -21.44%E -5.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:09
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -24.28%E -6.07%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -24.28%E -6.07%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:07
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-09 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-03-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-03-09 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-03-09 18:15
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-03-09 18:15
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 84.10%5.29I 18.90%NM 15.90%18.9%2026-03-09 18:15