مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jessica Pegula v Jelena Ostapenko

البداية: 2026-03-09 18:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jessica Pegula (المضيف)

التنبؤ 81.07%1.23السعر العادل
EV -1.10%
الأفضلية -0.898%
Kelly -4.98%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.22

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
76.92%81.04%81.30%84.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.111.171.171.2290.09%85.25%85.47%81.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jelena Ostapenko (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.93%5.28السعر العادل
EV +18.13%
الأفضلية +2.90%
Kelly +3.46%
النمو +0.627%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.24

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.33%18.96%18.70%23.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.804.806.2425.00%20.82%20.83%16.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.67%EV -8.39%E -7.43%K -64.55%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.33%EV +18.13%E +2.90%K +3.46%G +0.627%4.5%2026-03-09 18:15
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +13.58%E +2.26%K +2.72%G +0.369%6.0%2026-03-09 18:14
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -10.01%E -9.02%K -91.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +13.58%E +2.26%K +2.72%G +0.369%6.8%2026-03-09 18:14
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038%5.1%2026-03-09 18:15
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.39%E -7.43%K -64.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038%6.7%2026-03-09 18:14
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038%7.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +0.332%E +0.063%K +0.077%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:14
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 18:15
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 18:14
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.56%E -0.300%K -0.372%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 18:14
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 82.14%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.86%EV -2.51%E -0.487%K -0.604%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:15
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:14
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:14
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:14
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 18:14
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:15
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:15
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:15
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 18:15
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 18:15
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -11.97%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 18:15
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 18:10
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -1.91%E -1.58%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -14.06%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 18:08
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 18:03
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 18:15
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 18:14
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.91%E -1.58%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 18:08
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:15
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:15
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:13
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:13
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:08
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 18:13
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-09 18:15
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -17.08%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 18:07
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -18.60%E -4.33%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 18:04
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -19.55%E -4.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 17:59
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 18:10
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 18:07
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -21.44%E -5.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:09
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -24.28%E -6.07%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -24.28%E -6.07%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:07
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-09 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-03-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-03-09 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-03-09 18:15
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-03-09 18:15
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 84.10%5.29I 18.90%NM 15.90%18.9%2026-03-09 18:15