Школа коэффициентов

Jessica Pegula v Jelena Ostapenko

Начало: 2026-03-09 18:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Jessica Pegula (Хозяева)

Прогноз 81.07%1.23справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.10%
Преимущество -0.898%
Kelly -4.98%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.22

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
76.92%81.04%81.30%84.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.111.171.171.2290.09%85.25%85.47%81.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Jelena Ostapenko (Гости)

Прогноз 18.93%5.28справедливый коэффициент
EV +18.13%
Преимущество +2.90%
Kelly +3.46%
Рост +0.627%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.24

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.33%18.96%18.70%23.08%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.804.806.2425.00%20.82%20.83%16.03%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.67%EV -8.39%E -7.43%K -64.55%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.33%EV +18.13%E +2.90%K +3.46%G +0.627%4.5%2026-03-09 18:15
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +13.58%E +2.26%K +2.72%G +0.369%6.0%2026-03-09 18:14
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -10.01%E -9.02%K -91.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +13.58%E +2.26%K +2.72%G +0.369%6.8%2026-03-09 18:14
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038%5.1%2026-03-09 18:15
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.39%E -7.43%K -64.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038%6.7%2026-03-09 18:14
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038%7.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +0.332%E +0.063%K +0.077%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:14
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 18:15
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 18:14
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.56%E -0.300%K -0.372%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 18:14
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 82.14%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.86%EV -2.51%E -0.487%K -0.604%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:15
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:14
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:14
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:14
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 18:14
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:15
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:15
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:15
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 18:15
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 18:15
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -11.97%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 18:15
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 18:10
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -1.91%E -1.58%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -14.06%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 18:08
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 18:03
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 18:15
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 18:14
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.91%E -1.58%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 18:08
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:15
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:15
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:13
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:13
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:08
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 18:13
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-09 18:15
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -17.08%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 18:07
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -18.60%E -4.33%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 18:04
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -19.55%E -4.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 17:59
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 18:10
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 18:07
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -21.44%E -5.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:09
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -24.28%E -6.07%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -24.28%E -6.07%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:07
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-09 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-03-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-03-09 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-03-09 18:15
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-03-09 18:15
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 84.10%5.29I 18.90%NM 15.90%18.9%2026-03-09 18:15