Szkoła Kursów

Jessica Pegula v Jelena Ostapenko

Początek: 2026-03-09 18:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

57 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Jessica Pegula (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 81.07%1.23kurs godziwy
EV -1.10%
Przewaga -0.898%
Kelly -4.98%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.22

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
76.92%81.04%81.30%84.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.111.171.171.2290.09%85.25%85.47%81.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jelena Ostapenko (Goście)

Prognoza 18.93%5.28kurs godziwy
EV +18.13%
Przewaga +2.90%
Kelly +3.46%
Wzrost +0.627%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.24

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.33%18.96%18.70%23.08%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.804.806.2425.00%20.82%20.83%16.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (57 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.67%EV -8.39%E -7.43%K -64.55%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.33%EV +18.13%E +2.90%K +3.46%G +0.627%4.5%2026-03-09 18:15
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +13.58%E +2.26%K +2.72%G +0.369%6.0%2026-03-09 18:14
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -10.01%E -9.02%K -91.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +13.58%E +2.26%K +2.72%G +0.369%6.8%2026-03-09 18:14
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038%5.1%2026-03-09 18:15
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.39%E -7.43%K -64.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038%6.7%2026-03-09 18:14
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038%7.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +0.332%E +0.063%K +0.077%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:14
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 18:15
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 18:14
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 18:14
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.56%E -0.300%K -0.372%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 18:14
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 82.14%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.86%EV -2.51%E -0.487%K -0.604%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:15
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:14
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 18:14
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:15
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:14
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 18:14
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:15
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:15
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 18:15
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 18:15
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 18:14
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 18:15
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 18:15
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -11.97%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 18:15
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 18:10
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -1.91%E -1.58%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -14.06%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 18:08
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 18:03
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 18:15
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 18:14
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.91%E -1.58%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 18:08
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-09 18:15
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 18:15
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:13
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:13
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:08
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 18:14
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-09 18:13
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-09 18:15
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -17.08%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 18:07
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -18.60%E -4.33%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 18:04
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -19.55%E -4.60%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 17:59
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 18:10
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 18:07
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -21.44%E -5.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 18:09
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -24.28%E -6.07%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -24.28%E -6.07%K -8.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 18:07
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-03-09 18:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%0.8%2026-03-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-03-09 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.1%2026-03-09 18:15
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-03-09 18:15
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 84.10%5.29I 18.90%NM 15.90%18.9%2026-03-09 18:15