La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Jessica Pegula v Jelena Ostapenko
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Jessica Pegula (Casa)
Previsione 81.07%1.23quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.898%
Kelly -4.98%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.22
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.92%81.04%81.30%84.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.111.171.171.2290.09%85.25%85.47%81.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jelena Ostapenko (Trasferta)
Previsione 18.93%5.28quota equa
EV +18.13%
Vantaggio +2.90%
Kelly +3.46%
Crescita +0.627%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.24
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.33%18.96%18.70%23.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.804.806.2425.00%20.82%20.83%16.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.67%EV -8.39%E -7.43%K -64.55%G +0.000% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.33%EV +18.13%E +2.90%K +3.46%G +0.627% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +13.58%E +2.26%K +2.72%G +0.369% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -10.01%E -9.02%K -91.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +13.58%E +2.26%K +2.72%G +0.369% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.39%E -7.43%K -64.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +0.332%E +0.063%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Coral | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.56%E -0.300%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Fliff | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.14%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.86%EV -2.51%E -0.487%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Unibet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| betPARX | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Casumo | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -11.97%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 18:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -1.91%E -1.58%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -14.06%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 18:08 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 18:03 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.91%E -1.58%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 18:08 |
| Grosvenor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 18:13 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 18:13 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 18:08 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-09 18:13 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| GTbets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -17.08%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 18:07 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -18.60%E -4.33%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 18:04 |
| BetUS | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -19.55%E -4.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 17:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 18:10 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 18:07 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -21.44%E -5.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 18:09 |
| Neds | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -24.28%E -6.07%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 18:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -24.28%E -6.07%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 18:07 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 2.1% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Novig | 1.00I 100.00%NM 84.10% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 15.90% | 18.9% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |