La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jessica Pegula v Jelena Ostapenko
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Predicción 81.07%1.23momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.898%
Kelly -4.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.92%81.04%81.30%84.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.171.171.2290.09%85.25%85.47%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jelena Ostapenko (Visitante)
Predicción 18.93%5.28momio equitativo
EV +18.13%
Ventaja +2.90%
Kelly +3.46%
Crecimiento +0.627%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.33%18.96%18.70%23.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.804.806.2425.00%20.82%20.83%16.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.67%EV -8.39%E -7.43%K -64.55%G +0.000% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.33%EV +18.13%E +2.90%K +3.46%G +0.627% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +13.58%E +2.26%K +2.72%G +0.369% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -10.01%E -9.02%K -91.03%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +13.58%E +2.26%K +2.72%G +0.369% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.39%E -7.43%K -64.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +4.12%E +0.749%K +0.915%G +0.038% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +0.332%E +0.063%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Coral | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -0.614%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.56%E -0.300%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Fliff | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.14%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.86%EV -2.51%E -0.487%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Unibet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| betPARX | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.677%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00%EV -7.62%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Casumo | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.17%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.83%EV -11.97%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 18:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -1.91%E -1.58%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -14.06%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 18:08 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 18:03 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -1.91%E -1.58%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 18:08 |
| Grosvenor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 18:13 |
| Betsson | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 18:13 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 18:08 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 18:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-09 18:13 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.28%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -16.71%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| GTbets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -17.08%E -3.90%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 18:07 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -18.60%E -4.33%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 18:04 |
| BetUS | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -19.55%E -4.60%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 17:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 18:10 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 18:07 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -1.10%E -0.898%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -21.44%E -5.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 18:09 |
| Neds | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -24.28%E -6.07%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 18:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -24.28%E -6.07%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 18:07 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 0.4% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 2.1% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |
| Novig | 1.00I 100.00%NM 84.10% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 15.90% | 18.9% | 2026-03-09 18:15 |