The School of Odds

Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula

Matchstart: 2026-06-20 10:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma)

Prognos 53.79%1.86rättvist odds
EV +15.65%
Fördel +7.28%
Kelly +13.61%
Tillväxt +2.13%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
44.01%53.17%54.11%62.07%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.511.781.732.1566.23%56.16%57.97%46.51%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Jessica Pegula (Borta)

Prognos 46.21%2.16rättvist odds
EV +16.45%
Fördel +6.53%
Kelly +10.82%
Tillväxt +1.78%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.52

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.93%46.83%45.89%55.99%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.682.042.012.5259.52%49.08%49.75%39.68%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +15.65%E +7.28%K +13.61%G +2.13%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -21.91%E -12.96%K -31.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-20 10:20
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +12.96%E +6.17%K +11.78%G +1.53%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -21.44%E -12.61%K -30.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 10:20
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 10:20
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 10:20
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 10:20
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 10:20
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV +11.35%E +5.48%K +10.60%G +1.20%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -18.67%E -10.61%K -24.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 10:20
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV +10.81%E +5.25%K +10.20%G +1.10%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -20.06%E -11.59%K -27.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 10:20
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV +10.81%E +5.25%K +10.20%G +1.10%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -20.52%E -11.93%K -28.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 10:20
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +10.27%E +5.01%K +9.78%G +1.00%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -18.21%E -10.29%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 10:20
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV +10.27%E +5.01%K +9.78%G +1.00%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -20.98%E -12.27%K -29.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-20 10:20
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV +8.66%E +4.29%K +8.49%G +0.735%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -21.44%E -12.61%K -30.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV +8.66%E +4.29%K +8.49%G +0.735%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -22.37%E -13.31%K -32.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-20 10:20
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +7.58%E +3.79%K +7.58%G +0.575%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -15.44%E -8.44%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 10:20
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 10:19
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.74%E -6.15%K -12.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 10:19
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -12.20%E -6.42%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-20 10:19
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.71%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 10:19
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.71%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 10:19
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 10:19
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.88%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 10:19
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-20 10:19
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 10:18
DraftKings1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 10:19
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-20 10:19
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-20 10:19
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.48%E -4.35%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-20 10:19
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.02%E -4.69%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-20 10:19
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.56%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-20 10:20
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -8.56%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.28%E -5.87%K -12.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-20 10:19
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -9.09%E -5.38%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023%4.6%2026-06-20 10:19
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -9.63%E -5.73%K -14.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -10.35%E -5.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-20 10:19
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-20 10:19
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-20 10:19
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-20 10:19
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -11.25%E -6.82%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126%5.1%2026-06-20 10:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -11.25%E -6.82%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023%6.1%2026-06-20 10:19
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -12.32%E -7.56%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023%6.8%2026-06-20 10:19
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +13.21%E +5.39%K +9.11%G +1.20%2.5%2026-06-20 09:59
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +11.83%E +4.89%K +8.33%G +0.985%3.1%2026-06-20 10:07
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +11.83%E +4.89%K +8.33%G +0.985%3.1%2026-06-20 10:08
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126%6.2%2026-06-20 10:18
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023%7.2%2026-06-20 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -13.40%E -8.32%K -21.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -0.650%E -0.302%K -0.565%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-20 10:19
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -13.93%E -8.71%K -23.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304%6.0%2026-06-20 09:59
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -15.01%E -9.50%K -25.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304%6.8%2026-06-20 10:19
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +10.90%E +4.54%K +7.79%G +0.849%5.4%2026-06-20 10:07
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304%7.2%2026-06-20 10:07
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304%7.2%2026-06-20 10:07
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -16.09%E -10.31%K -28.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126%8.5%2026-06-20 10:19
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -17.16%E -11.14%K -31.78%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +16.45%E +6.53%K +10.82%G +1.78%4.6%2026-06-20 09:58
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -18.78%E -12.43%K -36.82%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV +12.75%E +5.23%K +8.85%G +1.13%7.2%2026-06-20 10:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-20 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-20 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-20 10:20
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-20 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%4.8%2026-06-20 10:20
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%5.0%2026-06-20 10:20