La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)
Previsione 53.79%1.86quota equa
EV +15.65%
Vantaggio +7.28%
Kelly +13.61%
Crescita +2.13%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.01%53.17%54.11%62.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.511.781.732.1566.23%56.16%57.97%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jessica Pegula (Trasferta)
Previsione 46.21%2.16quota equa
EV +16.45%
Vantaggio +6.53%
Kelly +10.82%
Crescita +1.78%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.52
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.93%46.83%45.89%55.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.682.042.012.5259.52%49.08%49.75%39.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +15.65%E +7.28%K +13.61%G +2.13% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -21.91%E -12.96%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +12.96%E +6.17%K +11.78%G +1.53% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -21.44%E -12.61%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV +11.35%E +5.48%K +10.60%G +1.20% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -18.67%E -10.61%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV +10.81%E +5.25%K +10.20%G +1.10% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -20.06%E -11.59%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV +10.81%E +5.25%K +10.20%G +1.10% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -20.52%E -11.93%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +10.27%E +5.01%K +9.78%G +1.00% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -18.21%E -10.29%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV +10.27%E +5.01%K +9.78%G +1.00% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -20.98%E -12.27%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV +8.66%E +4.29%K +8.49%G +0.735% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -21.44%E -12.61%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV +8.66%E +4.29%K +8.49%G +0.735% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -22.37%E -13.31%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +7.58%E +3.79%K +7.58%G +0.575% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -15.44%E -8.44%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.74%E -6.15%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -12.20%E -6.42%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.71%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.71%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.88%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 10:18 |
| DraftKings | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.48%E -4.35%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.02%E -4.69%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.56%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -8.56%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.28%E -5.87%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -9.09%E -5.38%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -9.63%E -5.73%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -10.35%E -5.34%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -11.25%E -6.82%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 10:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -11.25%E -6.82%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 6.1% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -12.32%E -7.56%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +13.21%E +5.39%K +9.11%G +1.20% | 2.5% | 2026-06-20 09:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +11.83%E +4.89%K +8.33%G +0.985% | 3.1% | 2026-06-20 10:07 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +11.83%E +4.89%K +8.33%G +0.985% | 3.1% | 2026-06-20 10:08 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 10:18 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -13.40%E -8.32%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -0.650%E -0.302%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -13.93%E -8.71%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 09:59 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -15.01%E -9.50%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +10.90%E +4.54%K +7.79%G +0.849% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 10:07 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 10:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 10:07 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -16.09%E -10.31%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126% | 8.5% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -17.16%E -11.14%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +16.45%E +6.53%K +10.82%G +1.78% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 09:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -18.78%E -12.43%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV +12.75%E +5.23%K +8.85%G +1.13% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 10:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Novig | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |