L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prévision 53.79%1.86cote équitable
EV +15.65%
Avantage +7.28%
Kelly +13.61%
Croissance +2.13%
avec la cote maximale 2.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.01%53.17%54.11%62.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.781.732.1566.23%56.16%57.97%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jessica Pegula (Visiteur)
Prévision 46.21%2.16cote équitable
EV +16.45%
Avantage +6.53%
Kelly +10.82%
Croissance +1.78%
avec la cote maximale 2.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.93%46.83%45.89%55.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.682.042.012.5259.52%49.08%49.75%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +15.65%E +7.28%K +13.61%G +2.13% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -21.91%E -12.96%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +12.96%E +6.17%K +11.78%G +1.53% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -21.44%E -12.61%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV +11.35%E +5.48%K +10.60%G +1.20% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -18.67%E -10.61%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV +10.81%E +5.25%K +10.20%G +1.10% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -20.06%E -11.59%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV +10.81%E +5.25%K +10.20%G +1.10% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -20.52%E -11.93%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +10.27%E +5.01%K +9.78%G +1.00% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -18.21%E -10.29%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV +10.27%E +5.01%K +9.78%G +1.00% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -20.98%E -12.27%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV +8.66%E +4.29%K +8.49%G +0.735% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -21.44%E -12.61%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV +8.66%E +4.29%K +8.49%G +0.735% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -22.37%E -13.31%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +7.58%E +3.79%K +7.58%G +0.575% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -15.44%E -8.44%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.74%E -6.15%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -12.20%E -6.42%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.71%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.71%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.88%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 10:18 |
| DraftKings | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.48%E -4.35%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.02%E -4.69%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.56%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -8.56%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.28%E -5.87%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -9.09%E -5.38%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -9.63%E -5.73%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -10.35%E -5.34%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -11.25%E -6.82%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 10:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -11.25%E -6.82%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 6.1% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -12.32%E -7.56%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +13.21%E +5.39%K +9.11%G +1.20% | 2.5% | 2026-06-20 09:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +11.83%E +4.89%K +8.33%G +0.985% | 3.1% | 2026-06-20 10:07 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +11.83%E +4.89%K +8.33%G +0.985% | 3.1% | 2026-06-20 10:08 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 10:18 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -13.40%E -8.32%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -0.650%E -0.302%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -13.93%E -8.71%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 09:59 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -15.01%E -9.50%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +10.90%E +4.54%K +7.79%G +0.849% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 10:07 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 10:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 10:07 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -16.09%E -10.31%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126% | 8.5% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -17.16%E -11.14%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +16.45%E +6.53%K +10.82%G +1.78% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 09:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -18.78%E -12.43%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV +12.75%E +5.23%K +8.85%G +1.13% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 10:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Novig | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |