Die Wettquotenschule

Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-20 10:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Heim)

Prognose 53.79%1.86faire Quote
EV +15.65%
Vorteil +7.28%
Kelly +13.61%
Wachstum +2.13%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.01%53.17%54.11%62.07%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.511.781.732.1566.23%56.16%57.97%46.51%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Jessica Pegula (Auswärts)

Prognose 46.21%2.16faire Quote
EV +16.45%
Vorteil +6.53%
Kelly +10.82%
Wachstum +1.78%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.52

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.93%46.83%45.89%55.99%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.682.042.012.5259.52%49.08%49.75%39.68%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +15.65%E +7.28%K +13.61%G +2.13%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -21.91%E -12.96%K -31.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-20 10:20
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +12.96%E +6.17%K +11.78%G +1.53%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -21.44%E -12.61%K -30.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 10:20
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 10:20
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 10:20
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 10:20
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 10:20
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV +11.35%E +5.48%K +10.60%G +1.20%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -18.67%E -10.61%K -24.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 10:20
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV +10.81%E +5.25%K +10.20%G +1.10%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -20.06%E -11.59%K -27.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 10:20
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV +10.81%E +5.25%K +10.20%G +1.10%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -20.52%E -11.93%K -28.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 10:20
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +10.27%E +5.01%K +9.78%G +1.00%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -18.21%E -10.29%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 10:20
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV +10.27%E +5.01%K +9.78%G +1.00%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -20.98%E -12.27%K -29.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-20 10:20
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV +8.66%E +4.29%K +8.49%G +0.735%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -21.44%E -12.61%K -30.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV +8.66%E +4.29%K +8.49%G +0.735%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -22.37%E -13.31%K -32.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-20 10:20
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +7.58%E +3.79%K +7.58%G +0.575%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -15.44%E -8.44%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 10:20
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 10:19
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.74%E -6.15%K -12.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 10:19
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -12.20%E -6.42%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-20 10:19
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.71%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 10:19
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.71%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 10:19
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 10:19
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.88%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 10:19
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-20 10:19
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 10:18
DraftKings1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 10:19
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-20 10:19
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-20 10:19
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.48%E -4.35%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-20 10:19
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.02%E -4.69%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-20 10:19
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.56%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-20 10:20
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -8.56%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.28%E -5.87%K -12.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-20 10:19
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -9.09%E -5.38%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023%4.6%2026-06-20 10:19
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -9.63%E -5.73%K -14.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -10.35%E -5.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-20 10:19
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-20 10:19
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-20 10:19
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-20 10:19
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -11.25%E -6.82%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126%5.1%2026-06-20 10:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -11.25%E -6.82%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023%6.1%2026-06-20 10:19
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -12.32%E -7.56%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023%6.8%2026-06-20 10:19
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +13.21%E +5.39%K +9.11%G +1.20%2.5%2026-06-20 09:59
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +11.83%E +4.89%K +8.33%G +0.985%3.1%2026-06-20 10:07
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +11.83%E +4.89%K +8.33%G +0.985%3.1%2026-06-20 10:08
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126%6.2%2026-06-20 10:18
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023%7.2%2026-06-20 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -13.40%E -8.32%K -21.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -0.650%E -0.302%K -0.565%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-20 10:19
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -13.93%E -8.71%K -23.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304%6.0%2026-06-20 09:59
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -15.01%E -9.50%K -25.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304%6.8%2026-06-20 10:19
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +10.90%E +4.54%K +7.79%G +0.849%5.4%2026-06-20 10:07
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304%7.2%2026-06-20 10:07
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304%7.2%2026-06-20 10:07
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -16.09%E -10.31%K -28.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126%8.5%2026-06-20 10:19
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -17.16%E -11.14%K -31.78%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +16.45%E +6.53%K +10.82%G +1.78%4.6%2026-06-20 09:58
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -18.78%E -12.43%K -36.82%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV +12.75%E +5.23%K +8.85%G +1.13%7.2%2026-06-20 10:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-20 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-20 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-20 10:20
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-20 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%4.8%2026-06-20 10:20
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%5.0%2026-06-20 10:20