La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 53.79%1.86momio equitativo
EV +15.65%
Ventaja +7.28%
Kelly +13.61%
Crecimiento +2.13%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.01%53.17%54.11%62.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.781.732.1566.23%56.16%57.97%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jessica Pegula (Visitante)
Predicción 46.21%2.16momio equitativo
EV +16.45%
Ventaja +6.53%
Kelly +10.82%
Crecimiento +1.78%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.93%46.83%45.89%55.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.682.042.012.5259.52%49.08%49.75%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +15.65%E +7.28%K +13.61%G +2.13% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -21.91%E -12.96%K -31.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +12.96%E +6.17%K +11.78%G +1.53% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -21.44%E -12.61%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV +11.35%E +5.48%K +10.60%G +1.20% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -18.67%E -10.61%K -24.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV +10.81%E +5.25%K +10.20%G +1.10% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -20.06%E -11.59%K -27.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV +10.81%E +5.25%K +10.20%G +1.10% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -20.52%E -11.93%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +10.27%E +5.01%K +9.78%G +1.00% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -18.21%E -10.29%K -23.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV +10.27%E +5.01%K +9.78%G +1.00% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -20.98%E -12.27%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV +8.66%E +4.29%K +8.49%G +0.735% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -21.44%E -12.61%K -30.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV +8.66%E +4.29%K +8.49%G +0.735% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -22.37%E -13.31%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +7.58%E +3.79%K +7.58%G +0.575% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -15.44%E -8.44%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.74%E -6.15%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -12.20%E -6.42%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.71%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.71%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.88%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 10:18 |
| DraftKings | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.48%E -4.35%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.02%E -4.69%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.56%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -8.56%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.28%E -5.87%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -9.09%E -5.38%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -9.63%E -5.73%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -10.35%E -5.34%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| betPARX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -11.25%E -6.82%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126% | 5.1% | 2026-06-20 10:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -11.25%E -6.82%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 6.1% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -12.32%E -7.56%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +13.21%E +5.39%K +9.11%G +1.20% | 2.5% | 2026-06-20 09:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +11.83%E +4.89%K +8.33%G +0.985% | 3.1% | 2026-06-20 10:07 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +11.83%E +4.89%K +8.33%G +0.985% | 3.1% | 2026-06-20 10:08 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 10:18 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -13.40%E -8.32%K -21.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -0.650%E -0.302%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -13.93%E -8.71%K -23.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 09:59 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -15.01%E -9.50%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304% | 6.8% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +10.90%E +4.54%K +7.79%G +0.849% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 10:07 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 10:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 10:07 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -16.09%E -10.31%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126% | 8.5% | 2026-06-20 10:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -17.16%E -11.14%K -31.78%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +16.45%E +6.53%K +10.82%G +1.78% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 09:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -18.78%E -12.43%K -36.82%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV +12.75%E +5.23%K +8.85%G +1.13% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 10:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45% | 4.8% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |
| Novig | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 10:20 |