Школа коэффициентов

Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Pegula

Начало: 2026-06-20 10:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

52 букмекерские конторы (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Хозяева)

Прогноз 53.79%1.86справедливый коэффициент
EV +15.65%
Преимущество +7.28%
Kelly +13.61%
Рост +2.13%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.15

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.01%53.17%54.11%62.07%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.511.781.732.1566.23%56.16%57.97%46.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Jessica Pegula (Гости)

Прогноз 46.21%2.16справедливый коэффициент
EV +16.45%
Преимущество +6.53%
Kelly +10.82%
Рост +1.78%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.52

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.93%46.83%45.89%55.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.682.042.012.5259.52%49.08%49.75%39.68%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +15.65%E +7.28%K +13.61%G +2.13%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -21.91%E -12.96%K -31.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-20 10:20
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +12.96%E +6.17%K +11.78%G +1.53%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -21.44%E -12.61%K -30.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 10:20
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 10:20
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 10:20
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 10:20
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV +11.88%E +5.71%K +11.00%G +1.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -19.60%E -11.26%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-20 10:20
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV +11.35%E +5.48%K +10.60%G +1.20%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -18.67%E -10.61%K -24.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 10:20
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV +10.81%E +5.25%K +10.20%G +1.10%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -20.06%E -11.59%K -27.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-20 10:20
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV +10.81%E +5.25%K +10.20%G +1.10%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -20.52%E -11.93%K -28.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 10:20
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +10.27%E +5.01%K +9.78%G +1.00%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -18.21%E -10.29%K -23.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 10:20
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV +10.27%E +5.01%K +9.78%G +1.00%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -20.98%E -12.27%K -29.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-20 10:20
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV +8.66%E +4.29%K +8.49%G +0.735%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -21.44%E -12.61%K -30.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV +8.66%E +4.29%K +8.49%G +0.735%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -22.37%E -13.31%K -32.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-20 10:20
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +7.58%E +3.79%K +7.58%G +0.575%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -15.44%E -8.44%K -18.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-20 10:20
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-20 10:19
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.74%E -6.15%K -12.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 10:19
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -1.56%E -0.854%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -12.20%E -6.42%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-20 10:19
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.71%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 10:19
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.71%E -2.08%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.66%E -3.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 10:19
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.79%E -2.71%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 10:19
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.88%E -1.87%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 10:19
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.33%E -3.03%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-20 10:19
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 10:18
DraftKings1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-20 10:19
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.87%E -3.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-20 10:19
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.94%E -4.01%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-20 10:19
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.48%E -4.35%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-20 10:19
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.02%E -4.69%K -11.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.89%E -5.07%K -10.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-20 10:19
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.56%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.58%E -3.79%K -7.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-20 10:20
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -8.56%E -5.03%K -12.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -11.28%E -5.87%K -12.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-20 10:19
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -9.09%E -5.38%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023%4.6%2026-06-20 10:19
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -9.63%E -5.73%K -14.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -10.35%E -5.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-20 10:19
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-20 10:19
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.96%E -1.41%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-20 10:19
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.17%E -6.09%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.27%E -2.57%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-20 10:19
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -11.25%E -6.82%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126%5.1%2026-06-20 10:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -11.25%E -6.82%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023%6.1%2026-06-20 10:19
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -12.32%E -7.56%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023%6.8%2026-06-20 10:19
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +13.21%E +5.39%K +9.11%G +1.20%2.5%2026-06-20 09:59
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +11.83%E +4.89%K +8.33%G +0.985%3.1%2026-06-20 10:07
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +11.83%E +4.89%K +8.33%G +0.985%3.1%2026-06-20 10:08
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126%6.2%2026-06-20 10:18
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -12.86%E -7.94%K -20.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +1.66%E +0.755%K +1.38%G +0.023%7.2%2026-06-20 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -13.40%E -8.32%K -21.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -0.650%E -0.302%K -0.565%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-20 10:19
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -13.93%E -8.71%K -23.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304%6.0%2026-06-20 09:59
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -15.01%E -9.50%K -25.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304%6.8%2026-06-20 10:19
Dabble (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +10.90%E +4.54%K +7.79%G +0.849%5.4%2026-06-20 10:07
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304%7.2%2026-06-20 10:07
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -15.55%E -9.90%K -27.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +6.28%E +2.73%K +4.83%G +0.304%7.2%2026-06-20 10:07
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -16.09%E -10.31%K -28.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV +3.97%E +1.76%K +3.18%G +0.126%8.5%2026-06-20 10:19
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -17.16%E -11.14%K -31.78%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +16.45%E +6.53%K +10.82%G +1.78%4.6%2026-06-20 09:58
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -18.78%E -12.43%K -36.82%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV +12.75%E +5.23%K +8.85%G +1.13%7.2%2026-06-20 10:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-20 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-20 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-20 10:20
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-20 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%4.8%2026-06-20 10:20
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%5.0%2026-06-20 10:20