Language:English
Shuai Zhang v Jelena Ostapenko
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shuai Zhang (Local)
Prediction 32.94%3.04fair odd
EV +7.06%
Edge +2.17%
Kelly +3.14%
Growth +0.222%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.04%32.81%33.11%35.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.862.883.2538.46%34.96%34.72%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jelena Ostapenko (Visit)
Prediction 67.06%1.49fair odd
EV -0.755%
Edge -0.510%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.20%67.19%66.89%70.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.401.401.4875.76%71.28%71.43%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shuai Zhang (Local): 32.94%; Jelena Ostapenko (Visit): 67.06%. For Shuai Zhang (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +7.06%E +2.17%K +3.14%G +0.222% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.81%E -8.13%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 05:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -0.514%E -0.170%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| BetAnything | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 14:15 |
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:33 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:18 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| betPARX | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.47%E -7.02%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 14:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -3.48%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 20:33 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| ReBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 19:00 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Betsson | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.11%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -6.11%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -10.14%E -7.57%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -6.44%E -2.27%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.43%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.755%E -0.510%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.755%E -0.510%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:32 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| betano_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Fliff | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -8.13%E -5.93%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -11.48%E -8.70%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -14.35%E -5.52%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Novig | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| ProphetX | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |