StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Shuai Zhang v Jelena Ostapenko

Matchstart: 2026-08-04 20:36 UTC

Slutresultat: Shuai Zhang 1–0 Jelena Ostapenko

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Shuai Zhang (Hemma)

Prognos 32.94%3.04rättvist odds
EV +7.06%
Fördel +2.17%
Kelly +3.14%
Tillväxt +0.222%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.04%32.81%33.11%35.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.862.883.2538.46%34.96%34.72%30.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jelena Ostapenko (Borta)

Prognos 67.06%1.49rättvist odds
EV -0.755%
Fördel -0.510%
Kelly -1.57%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.48

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.20%67.19%66.89%70.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.321.401.401.4875.76%71.28%71.43%67.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Shuai Zhang (Hemma): 32.94%; Jelena Ostapenko (Borta): 67.06%. För Shuai Zhang (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.04. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +7.06%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +7.06%E +2.17%K +3.14%G +0.222%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.81%E -8.13%K -32.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 05:45
DraftKings3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -0.514%E -0.170%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:34
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 14:15
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:33
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:35
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:35
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:18
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:34
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:34
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:35
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:35
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:35
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:34
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:35
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:35
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.47%E -7.02%K -27.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 14:10
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -3.48%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 20:20
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 20:33
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 19:35
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:35
ReBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:55
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 19:00
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:34
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:35
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:35
Betsson2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 20:35
NordicBet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 20:35
FanDuel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:34
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:34
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 19:14
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 20:35
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 20:35
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 20:35
Dabble (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.11%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -6.11%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -10.14%E -7.57%K -29.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 20:35
SportsBet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -6.44%E -2.27%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 20:35
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.43%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:34
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.755%E -0.510%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:34
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.755%E -0.510%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:35
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:35
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:34
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:35
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:34
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:20
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:35
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 19:15
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:45
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 20:34
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 20:35
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:32
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:35
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 17:55
betano_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 17:54
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -8.13%E -5.93%K -21.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-04 20:35
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -11.48%E -8.70%K -35.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-04 20:34
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 20:35
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 20:34
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 20:35
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 20:35
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -14.35%E -5.52%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 19:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-08-04 20:35
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-08-04 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-08-04 20:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-08-04 20:35
Novig2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%1.5%2026-08-04 20:35
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%1.9%2026-08-04 20:35
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.3%2026-08-04 20:35