Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shuai Zhang v Jelena Ostapenko

Início: 2026-08-04 20:36 UTC

Final: Shuai Zhang 1–0 Jelena Ostapenko

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Previsão 32.94%3.04odd justa
EV +7.06%
Vantagem +2.17%
Kelly +3.14%
Crescimento +0.222%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.04%32.81%33.11%35.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.862.883.2538.46%34.96%34.72%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jelena Ostapenko (Visitante)

Previsão 67.06%1.49odd justa
EV -0.755%
Vantagem -0.510%
Kelly -1.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.20%67.19%66.89%70.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.401.401.4875.76%71.28%71.43%67.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shuai Zhang (Local): 32.94%; Jelena Ostapenko (Visitante): 67.06%. Para Shuai Zhang (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.04. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.06%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +7.06%E +2.17%K +3.14%G +0.222%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.81%E -8.13%K -32.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 05:45
DraftKings3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -0.514%E -0.170%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:34
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 14:15
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:33
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:35
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:35
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:18
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:34
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:34
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:35
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:35
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:35
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:34
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:35
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:35
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.47%E -7.02%K -27.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 14:10
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -3.48%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 20:20
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 20:33
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 19:35
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:35
ReBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:55
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 19:00
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:34
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:35
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:35
Betsson2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 20:35
NordicBet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 20:35
FanDuel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:34
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:34
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 19:14
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 20:35
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 20:35
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 20:35
Dabble (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.11%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -6.11%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -10.14%E -7.57%K -29.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 20:35
SportsBet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -6.44%E -2.27%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 20:35
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.43%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:34
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.755%E -0.510%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:34
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.755%E -0.510%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:35
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:35
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:34
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:35
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:34
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:20
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:35
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 19:15
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:45
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 20:34
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 20:35
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:32
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:35
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 17:55
betano_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 17:54
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -8.13%E -5.93%K -21.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-04 20:35
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -11.48%E -8.70%K -35.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-04 20:34
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 20:35
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 20:34
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 20:35
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 20:35
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -14.35%E -5.52%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 19:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-08-04 20:35
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-08-04 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-08-04 20:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-08-04 20:35
Novig2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%1.5%2026-08-04 20:35
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%1.9%2026-08-04 20:35
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.3%2026-08-04 20:35