Langue:Français
Shuai Zhang v Jelena Ostapenko
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Shuai Zhang (Local)
Prévision 32.94%3.04cote équitable
EV +7.06%
Avantage +2.17%
Kelly +3.14%
Croissance +0.222%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.04%32.81%33.11%35.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.862.883.2538.46%34.96%34.72%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jelena Ostapenko (Visiteur)
Prévision 67.06%1.49cote équitable
EV -0.755%
Avantage -0.510%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.20%67.19%66.89%70.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.321.401.401.4875.76%71.28%71.43%67.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shuai Zhang (Local) : 32.94% ; Jelena Ostapenko (Visiteur) : 67.06%. Pour Shuai Zhang (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.04. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.25, soit une espérance positive de +7.06%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +7.06%E +2.17%K +3.14%G +0.222% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.81%E -8.13%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 05:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -0.514%E -0.170%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| BetAnything | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 14:15 |
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:33 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:18 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| betPARX | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.47%E -7.02%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 14:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -3.48%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 20:33 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| ReBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 19:00 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Betsson | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.11%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -6.11%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -10.14%E -7.57%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -6.44%E -2.27%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.43%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.755%E -0.510%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.755%E -0.510%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:32 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| betano_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Fliff | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -8.13%E -5.93%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -11.48%E -8.70%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -14.35%E -5.52%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Novig | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| ProphetX | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |