语言:简体中文
Shuai Zhang v Jelena Ostapenko
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Shuai Zhang (主队)
预测 32.94%3.04公平赔率
EV +7.06%
优势 +2.17%
Kelly +3.14%
增长率 +0.222%
假设最高赔率为 3.25
博彩公司预测分布
29.04%32.81%33.11%35.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.862.883.2538.46%34.96%34.72%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
Jelena Ostapenko (客队)
预测 67.06%1.49公平赔率
EV -0.755%
优势 -0.510%
Kelly -1.57%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.48
博彩公司预测分布
64.20%67.19%66.89%70.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.401.401.4875.76%71.28%71.43%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Shuai Zhang (主队)：32.94%；Jelena Ostapenko (客队)：67.06%。 对于“Shuai Zhang (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.04。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.25，对应+7.06%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +7.06%E +2.17%K +3.14%G +0.222% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.81%E -8.13%K -32.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 05:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -0.514%E -0.170%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| BetAnything | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 14:15 |
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:33 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 20:18 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Casumo | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Unibet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| betPARX | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.47%E -7.02%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 14:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -3.48%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 20:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 20:33 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| ReBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 19:55 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 19:00 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Betsson | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 19:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.11%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -6.11%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -10.14%E -7.57%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -6.44%E -2.27%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.43%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.755%E -0.510%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.755%E -0.510%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 14:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:32 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 17:55 |
| betano_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Fliff | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -8.13%E -5.93%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -11.48%E -8.70%K -35.89%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 20:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -14.35%E -5.52%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 19:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Novig | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| ProphetX | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.3% | 2026-08-04 20:35 |