StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Shuai Zhang v Jelena Ostapenko

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-04 20:36 UTC

Endstand: Shuai Zhang 1–0 Jelena Ostapenko

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Shuai Zhang (Heim)

Prognose 32.94%3.04faire Quote
EV +7.06%
Vorteil +2.17%
Kelly +3.14%
Wachstum +0.222%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.04%32.81%33.11%35.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.602.862.883.2538.46%34.96%34.72%30.77%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jelena Ostapenko (Auswärts)

Prognose 67.06%1.49faire Quote
EV -0.755%
Vorteil -0.510%
Kelly -1.57%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.48

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
64.20%67.19%66.89%70.96%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.321.401.401.4875.76%71.28%71.43%67.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Shuai Zhang (Heim): 32.94%; Jelena Ostapenko (Auswärts): 67.06%. Für Shuai Zhang (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.04. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.06%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +7.06%E +2.17%K +3.14%G +0.222%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -10.81%E -8.13%K -32.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 05:45
DraftKings3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -0.514%E -0.170%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:34
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 14:15
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:33
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:35
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.17%E -0.391%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:35
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 20:18
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:34
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:34
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:35
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:35
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:35
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:34
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:35
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 20:35
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.47%E -7.02%K -27.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 14:10
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -3.48%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 20:20
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 20:33
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 19:35
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:35
ReBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.45%E -3.86%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:55
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 19:00
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.46%E -5.41%K -19.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 20:34
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:35
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 20:35
Betsson2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 20:35
NordicBet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.48%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.52%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 20:35
FanDuel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:34
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 20:34
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 19:14
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 20:35
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 20:35
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.80%E -6.47%K -24.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 20:35
Dabble (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.11%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -6.11%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -10.14%E -7.57%K -29.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 20:35
SportsBet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -6.44%E -2.27%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -6.79%E -4.88%K -17.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 20:35
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.43%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:34
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.755%E -0.510%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:34
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -0.755%E -0.510%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-04 20:35
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:35
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.10%E -1.44%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:34
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:35
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:34
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:20
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.11%E -2.87%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 20:35
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.78%E -3.36%K -11.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 19:15
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 18:45
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 20:34
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.76%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 20:35
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:32
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 20:35
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 17:55
betano_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.12%E -4.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 17:54
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -8.13%E -5.93%K -21.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-04 20:35
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -9.41%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -11.48%E -8.70%K -35.89%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-04 20:34
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 20:35
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 20:34
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 20:35
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -13.69%E -5.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -3.44%E -2.39%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 20:35
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -14.35%E -5.52%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -2.77%E -1.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 19:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-08-04 20:35
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-08-04 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-08-04 20:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-08-04 20:35
Novig2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%1.5%2026-08-04 20:35
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%1.9%2026-08-04 20:35
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.3%2026-08-04 20:35