Language:English
Sara Bejlek v Iga Swiatek
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sara Bejlek (Local)
Prediction 12.92%7.74fair odd
EV +9.78%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.128%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.27%12.91%12.96%17.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.507.097.008.5018.18%14.10%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iga Swiatek (Visit)
Prediction 87.08%1.15fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -12.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.96%87.09%87.04%88.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.091.091.1395.24%91.49%91.74%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sara Bejlek (Local): 12.92%; Iga Swiatek (Visit): 87.08%. For Sara Bejlek (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.74. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +9.78%E +1.15%K +1.30%G +0.128% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +6.55%E +0.794%K +0.904%G +0.059% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.90%EV +4.23%E +0.524%K +0.598%G +0.025% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.10%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.90%EV +4.23%E +0.524%K +0.598%G +0.025% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.10%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +3.32%E +0.415%K +0.475%G +0.016% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +3.32%E +0.415%K +0.475%G +0.016% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.32%E +0.415%K +0.475%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.32%E +0.415%K +0.475%G +0.016% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.82%E -6.37%K -97.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +0.740%E +0.095%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.56%E -8.15%K -171.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 15:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV +0.094%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.63I 13.11%NM 12.50%EV -1.46%E -0.191%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.50%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -1.84%E -0.242%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -3.78%E -0.507%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 08:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV -4.43%E -0.598%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 08:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -4.43%E -0.598%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.35I 13.61%NM 13.12%EV -5.07%E -0.690%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -5.72%E -0.783%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -5.72%E -0.783%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -5.72%E -0.783%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -6.11%E -0.840%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.07%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -6.11%E -0.840%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.07%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -6.36%E -0.878%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -7.65%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 07:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -12.18%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.29%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 16:28 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 07:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 15:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -17.34%E -2.71%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -19.28%E -3.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -22.51%E -3.75%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -28.97%E -5.27%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -1.59%E -1.41%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.81% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.19% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |