Langue:Français
Sara Bejlek v Iga Swiatek
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sara Bejlek (Local)
Prévision 12.92%7.74cote équitable
EV +9.78%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +1.30%
Croissance +0.128%
avec la cote maximale 8.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.27%12.91%12.96%17.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.507.097.008.5018.18%14.10%14.29%11.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Iga Swiatek (Visiteur)
Prévision 87.08%1.15cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -12.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.96%87.09%87.04%88.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.051.091.091.1395.24%91.49%91.74%88.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sara Bejlek (Local) : 12.92% ; Iga Swiatek (Visiteur) : 87.08%. Pour Sara Bejlek (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.74. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.50, soit une espérance positive de +9.78%.
Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +9.78%E +1.15%K +1.30%G +0.128% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +6.55%E +0.794%K +0.904%G +0.059% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.90%EV +4.23%E +0.524%K +0.598%G +0.025% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.10%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.90%EV +4.23%E +0.524%K +0.598%G +0.025% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.10%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +3.32%E +0.415%K +0.475%G +0.016% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +3.32%E +0.415%K +0.475%G +0.016% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.32%E +0.415%K +0.475%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.32%E +0.415%K +0.475%G +0.016% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.82%E -6.37%K -97.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +0.740%E +0.095%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.56%E -8.15%K -171.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 15:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV +0.094%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.63I 13.11%NM 12.50%EV -1.46%E -0.191%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.50%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -1.84%E -0.242%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -3.78%E -0.507%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 08:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV -4.43%E -0.598%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 08:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -4.43%E -0.598%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.35I 13.61%NM 13.12%EV -5.07%E -0.690%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -5.72%E -0.783%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -5.72%E -0.783%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -5.72%E -0.783%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -6.11%E -0.840%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.07%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -6.11%E -0.840%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.07%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -6.36%E -0.878%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -7.65%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 07:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -12.18%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.29%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 16:28 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 07:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 15:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -17.34%E -2.71%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -19.28%E -3.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -22.51%E -3.75%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -28.97%E -5.27%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -1.59%E -1.41%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.81% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.19% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |