StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sara Bejlek v Iga Swiatek

Matchstart: 2026-08-04 16:39 UTC

Slutresultat: Sara Bejlek 0–2 Iga Swiatek

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

66 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sara Bejlek (Hemma)

Prognos 12.92%7.74rättvist odds
EV +9.78%
Fördel +1.15%
Kelly +1.30%
Tillväxt +0.128%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.27%12.91%12.96%17.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.507.097.008.5018.18%14.10%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Borta)

Prognos 87.08%1.15rättvist odds
EV -1.59%
Fördel -1.41%
Kelly -12.26%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.13

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
82.96%87.09%87.04%88.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.051.091.091.1395.24%91.49%91.74%88.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sara Bejlek (Hemma): 12.92%; Iga Swiatek (Borta): 87.08%. För Sara Bejlek (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.74. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 8.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +9.78%.

Spelbolagsodds (66 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +9.78%E +1.15%K +1.30%G +0.128%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 15:25
Coolbet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +6.55%E +0.794%K +0.904%G +0.059%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯8.07I 12.39%NM 11.90%EV +4.23%E +0.524%K +0.598%G +0.025%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.10%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯8.07I 12.39%NM 11.90%EV +4.23%E +0.524%K +0.598%G +0.025%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.10%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +3.32%E +0.415%K +0.475%G +0.016%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +3.32%E +0.415%K +0.475%G +0.016%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 14:59
Bovada🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.32%E +0.415%K +0.475%G +0.016%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 16:34
BetUS🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.32%E +0.415%K +0.475%G +0.016%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.82%E -6.37%K -97.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +0.740%E +0.095%K +0.109%G +0.001%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.56%E -8.15%K -171.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 15:24
NetBet (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV +0.094%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 16:29
1xBet🎯7.63I 13.11%NM 12.50%EV -1.46%E -0.191%K -0.220%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.50%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 16:34
ReBet🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -1.84%E -0.242%K -0.279%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 15:35
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:35
Fanatics🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:55
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 07:54
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 16:25
BetAnything🎯7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -3.78%E -0.507%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 08:39
GTbets🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV -4.43%E -0.598%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 08:15
FanDuel🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -4.43%E -0.598%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:35
Pinnacle🎯7.35I 13.61%NM 13.12%EV -5.07%E -0.690%K -0.799%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 16:35
DraftKings🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -5.72%E -0.783%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -5.72%E -0.783%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:25
LeoVegas🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -5.72%E -0.783%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 15:20
NordicBet🎯7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -6.11%E -0.840%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.07%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 16:35
Betsson🎯7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -6.11%E -0.840%K -0.974%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.07%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 16:34
BetMGM🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -6.36%E -0.878%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 07:55
Fliff🎯7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -7.65%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 16:34
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 14:45
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 07:49
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 16:35
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 16:35
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 16:35
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 16:35
Caesars🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -12.18%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.29%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 16:28
Unibet (NL)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
Virgin Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
Unibet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
Casumo🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
LiveScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
Grosvenor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
TABtouch🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
Unibet (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
BetRivers🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
ATG (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
betPARX🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
Bally Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 07:30
theScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 07:55
Dabble (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 16:35
Neds🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 07:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 16:34
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 14:54
betano_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 15:19
PMU (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -17.34%E -2.71%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 06:30
PlayUp🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -19.28%E -3.08%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 16:35
SportsBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -22.51%E -3.75%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 16:35
TAB🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -28.97%E -5.27%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -1.59%E -1.41%K -12.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 16:34
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-08-04 16:35
Matchbook7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%0.5%2026-08-04 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%0.7%2026-08-04 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%0.7%2026-08-04 16:35
Novig7.69I 13.00%NM 12.81%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.19%1.5%2026-08-04 16:35
ProphetX7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33%1.6%2026-08-04 16:35
Smarkets7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16%2.4%2026-08-04 16:35