StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sara Bejlek v Iga Swiatek

2026-08-05 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Matchresultat

42 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sara Bejlek (Hemma)

Prognos 13.57%7.37rättvist odds
EV +5.86%
Fördel +0.751%
Kelly +0.861%
Tillväxt +0.050%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.16%13.71%13.66%16.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.306.806.757.8018.87%14.70%14.81%12.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Borta)

Prognos 86.43%1.16rättvist odds
EV -3.20%
Fördel -2.86%
Kelly -26.67%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.12

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
83.20%86.29%86.34%87.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.061.101.101.1294.34%91.23%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Sara Bejlek (Hemma): 13.57%; Iga Swiatek (Borta): 86.43%. För Sara Bejlek (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.37. 8 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 7.80, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +5.86%.

Spelbolagsodds (42 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +5.86%E +0.751%K +0.861%G +0.050%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 05:44
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 04:35
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 04:09
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 04:14
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 05:59
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 05:59
888sport (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 06:00
BoyleSports7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 04:50
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -2.29%E -0.317%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -8.39%E -7.91%K -139.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 07:00
GTbets7.01I 14.27%NM 13.56%EV -4.86%E -0.694%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.44%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 04:09
Winamax (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 05:45
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 05:24
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 06:00
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 06:49
Marathon Bet6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -5.68%E -0.817%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 06:40
1xBet6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -5.68%E -0.817%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 06:40
PointsBet (AU)6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -6.36%E -0.921%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 05:30
Unibet (NL)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
Virgin Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
Unibet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
Casumo6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
LiveScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
Grosvenor6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
TABtouch6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
Unibet (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
BetRivers6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
ATG (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
betPARX6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
Bally Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
Svenska Spel6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
Hard Rock Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 07:30
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 04:09
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 05:45
theScore Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 05:30
PMU (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 06:30
LeoVegas6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 06:35
Betclic (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -15.86%E -2.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 06:40
Dabble (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.57%E -3.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.20%E -2.86%K -26.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 06:40
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.57%E -3.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.20%E -2.86%K -26.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 06:40
Winamax (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -25.36%E -4.61%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 83.71%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-03 05:45
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -28.07%E -5.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-03 05:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%12.3%2026-08-03 05:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 48.39%1.05I 95.24%NM 51.61%84.5%2026-08-03 06:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 48.39%1.05I 95.24%NM 51.61%84.5%2026-08-03 06:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 48.39%1.05I 95.24%NM 51.61%84.5%2026-08-03 06:35