Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sara Bejlek v Iga Swiatek

2026-08-05 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Testa a testa

42 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sara Bejlek (Casa)

Previsione 13.57%7.37quota equa
EV +5.86%
Vantaggio +0.751%
Kelly +0.861%
Crescita +0.050%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.16%13.71%13.66%16.80%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.306.806.757.8018.87%14.70%14.81%12.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Trasferta)

Previsione 86.43%1.16quota equa
EV -3.20%
Vantaggio -2.86%
Kelly -26.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
83.20%86.29%86.34%87.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.061.101.101.1294.34%91.23%90.91%89.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Sara Bejlek (Casa): 13.57%; Iga Swiatek (Trasferta): 86.43%. Per Sara Bejlek (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 7.37. 8 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 7.80, con un valore atteso positivo del +5.86%.

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +5.86%E +0.751%K +0.861%G +0.050%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 05:44
DraftKings7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 04:35
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 04:09
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 04:14
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 05:59
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 05:59
888sport (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 06:00
BoyleSports7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 04:50
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -2.29%E -0.317%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -8.39%E -7.91%K -139.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 07:00
GTbets7.01I 14.27%NM 13.56%EV -4.86%E -0.694%K -0.809%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.44%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 04:09
Winamax (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 05:45
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 05:24
Betr (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 06:00
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 06:49
Marathon Bet6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -5.68%E -0.817%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 06:40
1xBet6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -5.68%E -0.817%K -0.954%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 06:40
PointsBet (AU)6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -6.36%E -0.921%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 05:30
Unibet (NL)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
Virgin Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
Unibet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
Casumo6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
LiveScore Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
Grosvenor6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
TABtouch6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
Unibet (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
BetRivers6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
ATG (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
betPARX6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:29
Bally Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
Svenska Spel6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 06:30
Hard Rock Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 07:30
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 04:09
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 05:45
theScore Bet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 05:30
PMU (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 06:30
LeoVegas6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 06:35
Betclic (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -15.86%E -2.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 06:40
Dabble (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.57%E -3.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.20%E -2.86%K -26.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 06:40
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.57%E -3.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.20%E -2.86%K -26.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 06:40
Winamax (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -25.36%E -4.61%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 83.71%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-03 05:45
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -28.07%E -5.30%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.45%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-03 05:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%12.3%2026-08-03 05:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 48.39%1.05I 95.24%NM 51.61%84.5%2026-08-03 06:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 48.39%1.05I 95.24%NM 51.61%84.5%2026-08-03 06:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 48.39%1.05I 95.24%NM 51.61%84.5%2026-08-03 06:35