Idioma:Español
Sara Bejlek v Iga Swiatek
Resultado del partido
Sara Bejlek (Local)
Predicción 13.57%7.37momio equitativo
EV +5.86%
Ventaja +0.751%
Kelly +0.861%
Crecimiento +0.050%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.16%13.71%13.66%16.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.306.806.757.8018.87%14.70%14.81%12.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Iga Swiatek (Visitante)
Predicción 86.43%1.16momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -2.86%
Kelly -26.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.20%86.29%86.34%87.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.061.101.101.1294.34%91.23%90.91%89.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Sara Bejlek (Local): 13.57%; Iga Swiatek (Visitante): 86.43%. Para Sara Bejlek (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 7.37. 8 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 7.80, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.86%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +5.86%E +0.751%K +0.861%G +0.050% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 05:44 |
| DraftKings | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 04:35 |
| Paddy Power | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 04:09 |
| Sky Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 04:14 |
| 888sport | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 05:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 05:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 06:00 |
| BoyleSports | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.79%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 04:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -2.29%E -0.317%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -8.39%E -7.91%K -139.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 07:00 |
| GTbets | 7.01I 14.27%NM 13.56%EV -4.86%E -0.694%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.44%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 04:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| Betway | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 05:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 06:00 |
| betfred_uk | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 06:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -5.68%E -0.817%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 06:40 |
| 1xBet | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV -5.68%E -0.817%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 06:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -6.36%E -0.921%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 05:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Unibet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Casumo | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| Grosvenor | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| TABtouch | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| BetRivers | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| betPARX | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| Bally Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.06%E -3.66%K -36.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 07:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 04:09 |
| SportsBet | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| theScore Bet | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -4.93%E -4.48%K -49.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-03 05:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| LeoVegas | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.44%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.56%EV -6.66%E -6.16%K -83.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 06:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -15.86%E -2.56%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.05%EV -5.79%E -5.31%K -64.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 06:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.57%E -3.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.20%E -2.86%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 06:40 |
| PlayUp | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.57%E -3.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.20%E -2.86%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 06:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -25.36%E -4.61%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.71%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.45%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -28.07%E -5.30%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%EV -7.52%E -7.03%K -107.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20% | 12.3% | 2026-08-03 05:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 48.39% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 51.61% | 84.5% | 2026-08-03 06:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 48.39% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 51.61% | 84.5% | 2026-08-03 06:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 48.39% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 51.61% | 84.5% | 2026-08-03 06:35 |