Idioma:Español
Sara Bejlek v Iga Swiatek
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sara Bejlek (Local)
Predicción 12.92%7.74momio equitativo
EV +9.78%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.30%
Crecimiento +0.128%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.27%12.91%12.96%17.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.507.097.008.5018.18%14.10%14.29%11.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Iga Swiatek (Visitante)
Predicción 87.08%1.15momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -12.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.96%87.09%87.04%88.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.051.091.091.1395.24%91.49%91.74%88.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sara Bejlek (Local): 12.92%; Iga Swiatek (Visitante): 87.08%. Para Sara Bejlek (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.74. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.78%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +9.78%E +1.15%K +1.30%G +0.128% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +6.55%E +0.794%K +0.904%G +0.059% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.90%EV +4.23%E +0.524%K +0.598%G +0.025% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.10%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.90%EV +4.23%E +0.524%K +0.598%G +0.025% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.10%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +3.32%E +0.415%K +0.475%G +0.016% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +3.32%E +0.415%K +0.475%G +0.016% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.32%E +0.415%K +0.475%G +0.016% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.32%E +0.415%K +0.475%G +0.016% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.82%E -6.37%K -97.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +0.740%E +0.095%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -8.56%E -8.15%K -171.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-04 15:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV +0.094%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.63I 13.11%NM 12.50%EV -1.46%E -0.191%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.50%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -1.84%E -0.242%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.13%E -0.418%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -3.78%E -0.507%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 08:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV -4.43%E -0.598%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 08:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -4.43%E -0.598%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.35I 13.61%NM 13.12%EV -5.07%E -0.690%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 13.20%EV -5.72%E -0.783%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.80%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -5.72%E -0.783%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 10:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.89%EV -5.72%E -0.783%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.11%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -6.11%E -0.840%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.07%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.27I 13.76%NM 12.93%EV -6.11%E -0.840%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.07%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -6.36%E -0.878%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 7.15I 13.99%NM 12.91%EV -7.65%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.09%EV -7.69%E -7.26%K -128.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 07:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.59%E -1.37%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -12.18%E -1.79%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.29%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 16:28 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 07:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.82%E -1.90%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.21%E -3.82%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.05%E -2.47%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.95%E -5.51%K -74.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 15:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -17.34%E -2.71%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 06:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -19.28%E -3.08%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.34%E -3.01%K -30.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -22.51%E -3.75%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.08%E -4.66%K -56.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -28.97%E -5.27%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -1.59%E -1.41%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.81% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.19% | 1.5% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.33% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16% | 2.4% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |