Language:English
Mirra Andreeva v Karolina Pliskova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mirra Andreeva (Local)
Prediction 78.60%1.27fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -7.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.19%78.55%78.43%80.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.201.211.2586.96%83.04%82.64%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Karolina Pliskova (Visit)
Prediction 21.40%4.67fair odd
EV +7.23%
Edge +1.44%
Kelly +1.80%
Growth +0.130%
assuming max odds 5.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.44%21.45%21.57%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.334.405.0126.67%23.09%22.73%19.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mirra Andreeva (Local): 78.60%; Karolina Pliskova (Visit): 21.40%. For Karolina Pliskova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.67. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.55%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.45%EV +7.23%E +1.44%K +1.80%G +0.130% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV +3.80%E +0.784%K +0.988%G +0.038% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.47%E -5.44%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +2.73%E +0.570%K +0.719%G +0.020% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.66%E +0.350%K +0.444%G +0.007% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.66%E +0.350%K +0.444%G +0.007% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +0.594%E +0.126%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.61%E -8.36%K -64.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +0.594%E +0.126%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 13:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 13:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 11:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-05 19:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.31%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.69%EV -10.32%E -2.46%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.75%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.75%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.75%E -1.40%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.54%E -2.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 19:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 13:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 13:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -17.60%E -4.57%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -19.74%E -5.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00% | 2.5% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |