语言:简体中文
Mirra Andreeva v Karolina Pliskova
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Mirra Andreeva (主队)
预测 78.60%1.27公平赔率
EV -1.75%
优势 -1.40%
Kelly -7.01%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.25
博彩公司预测分布
76.19%78.55%78.43%80.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.151.201.211.2586.96%83.04%82.64%80.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
Karolina Pliskova (客队)
预测 21.40%4.67公平赔率
EV +7.23%
优势 +1.44%
Kelly +1.80%
增长率 +0.130%
假设最高赔率为 5.01
博彩公司预测分布
19.44%21.45%21.57%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.334.405.0126.67%23.09%22.73%19.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Mirra Andreeva (主队)：78.60%；Karolina Pliskova (客队)：21.40%。 对于“Karolina Pliskova (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.67。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.01，对应+7.23%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.55%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.45%EV +7.23%E +1.44%K +1.80%G +0.130% | 2.6% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV +3.80%E +0.784%K +0.988%G +0.038% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.47%E -5.44%K -34.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +2.73%E +0.570%K +0.719%G +0.020% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.66%E +0.350%K +0.444%G +0.007% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.66%E +0.350%K +0.444%G +0.007% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV +0.594%E +0.126%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.61%E -8.36%K -64.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +0.594%E +0.126%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 10:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 13:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.55%E -0.336%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-05 13:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 13:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.69%E -0.819%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.83%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 11:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-05 19:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 18:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.31%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.69%EV -10.32%E -2.46%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.75%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%EV -4.90%E -4.05%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%EV -10.75%E -2.58%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.33%E -2.70%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -2.99%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.75%E -1.40%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.54%E -2.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 19:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 13:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 13:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.11%E -3.37%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -15.46%E -3.91%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -5.68%E -4.74%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -17.60%E -4.57%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.04%E -6.87%K -47.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -19.74%E -5.26%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00% | 2.5% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05% | 2.9% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |